The Matchday 18 fixture of the Russian Premier League between Akhmat and Orenburg will be held on December 5 at the Akhmat Arena in Grozny. Akhmat vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Akhmat
The Grozny side ended a six-match winless streak in the Premier League (1 draw, 5 losses) with a victory over Dynamo Moscow (2-1) in the last round. Notably, it was the first time this season the team won after trailing in the scoreline. The three points lifted Stanislav Cherchesov's men to 10th place in the standings, although they are only four points clear of the relegation zone. In the match against the Moscow club, Akhmat recorded some of their best stats this season with seven shots on target (averaging 4.2).
- The club has conceded in seven consecutive RPL matches.
- At home, Grozny has not lost in 12 of their last 15 league matches (7 wins, 5 draws).
- Both teams scored in five of Akhmat's last six home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Akhmat (4-5-1)
Vadim Ulyanov – Mehdi Zare, Nader Gnadri, Usman Ndong, Miroslav Bogosavac – Manuel Celiano, Ismael Silva, Egas Kasintura, Maxim Samorodov, Lechi Sadulaev – Georgy Melkadze.
Forward Anas El Mahraoui is recovering from injury.
Orenburg
Ildar Akhmetzyanov's team suffered a 0-2 defeat away to CSKA in the last round. The team has not won in three consecutive league matches (1 draw, 2 losses), and during this period, Orenburg has failed to score. The last time they had a longer goalless streak was a year ago. Orenburg has conceded in 15 of their last 16 Premier League matches. In the standings, the team is in 14th place, just one point clear of the relegation zone.
- Orenburg has not conceded more than one goal in six of their last seven RPL matches.
- The team has lost five of their last six away league games (1 draw).
- In 10 of their last 11 away Premier League matches, Orenburg conceded the first goal.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Danila Khotulev, Fahd Moufi, Artem Kasimov, Danila Vedernikov – Dmitry Rybchinsky, Du Queiroz, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Jordi Thompson, Gedeon Guzina – Emirjan Gyurlyuk.
Defender Alexey Tataev is injured.
Prediction for Akhmat vs. Orenburg
November has been a tough month for Orenburg. Ildar Akhmetzyanov's side started with a win over Sochi but then faced only top-five teams in the league. They managed to earn points only in the home game against Baltika, while away matches have been challenging for Orenburg. In the 2025/26 RPL season, the club has won only once on the road and comes into this game with a streak of three away defeats, failing to score during this period. With such results, the chances of a positive outcome in inhospitable Grozny are slim.
Akhmat managed to regroup and end their losing streak. I am confident Stanislav Cherchesov's side will try to build on their success against an opponent they have not lost to at home in the RPL. Overall, the team performs well at home, having avoided defeat in 12 of their last 15 Premier League matches (7 wins, 5 draws). Additionally, they have conceded more than one goal in only three of these games, which is a favorable factor against an Orenburg attack that has been silent for three consecutive rounds.
My prediction: Akhmat to avoid defeat and Total under 3.5 goals
