The Coppa Italia Round of 16 match between Lazio and AC Milan will take place on December 4 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs. AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lazio
Maurizio Sarri's side has yet to play in this season's Coppa Italia. In recent years, Lazio has not achieved significant success in this tournament, exiting at the quarter-final stage in 5 of the last 6 seasons. They were also eliminated at this stage last season, losing 0-2 to Inter. Notably, in 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament, Lazio has not scored more than one goal in regular time.
- The team has won in regular time in 7 of their last 8 home games in the Coppa Italia.
- Lazio has scored in the first half in 6 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in their last 14 home games in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini – Gustav Isaksen, Matias Vecino, Toma Basic, Matteo Guendouzi, Mattia Zaccagni – Boulaye Dia.
Defender Samuel Gigot, midfielders Danilo Cataldi and Nicolo Rovella, and forward Matteo Cancellieri will miss the game due to injuries.
AC Milan
Massimiliano Allegri's side started from the Round of 64, defeating Bari (2-0) and Lecce (3-0) consecutively. As a result, AC Milan secured two consecutive clean-sheet victories in the Coppa Italia for the first time since 2016. Over the past ten seasons, the team has reached at least the semi-finals six times and appeared in the final three times, although they have not won the trophy, with their last national cup victory dating back to 2003. In last season's Coppa Italia, Milan lost to Bologna in the final, 0-1.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last five away matches in the national cup (4 draws, 1 loss).
- At least one of the opponents has failed to score in 90 minutes in 6 of Milan's last 7 away games in this tournament.
- Milan has not scored more than one goal in regular time in their last six away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for AC Milan (3-5-2)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic – Davide Bartesaghi, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Alexis Saelemaekers – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.
Defender Zakari Ateka, midfielder Youssouf Fofana, and forward Santiago Jimenez will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 67%.
Lazio vs. AC Milan: Match Prediction
In cup matches, Lazio has been quite confident at home, having not lost in regular time since 2016. During this period, Lazio has played 15 home matches in the Coppa Italia, winning 12 and drawing three in regular time. Notably, in their last three home games in this tournament, they have defeated opponents such as Napoli, Juventus, and Roma.
AC Milan struggles with away games in the national cup, failing to win in regular time in their last five away matches (4 draws, 1 loss). Additionally, Milan has not been very productive, having not scored in regular time in away Coppa Italia matches since 2017. It is also worth noting that Milan has not won in regular time in 13 of their last 17 matches at Lazio's ground in Serie A and the Coppa Italia (6 wins, 7 draws).
I believe the hosts will not lose in regular time in this match, so my prediction: Lazio to win or draw
