The German Super Cup match between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich will take place on August 16 at the MHP Arena in Stuttgart. Stuttgart vs. Bayern Munich: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Stuttgart
Last season, the team had a disappointing Bundesliga campaign, finishing only ninth, but they managed to win the German Cup. In the final of this tournament, Stuttgart defeated Arminia 4-2, securing their first national Cup in the 21st century and the fourth in the club's history. Interestingly, the team earned the right to play for the German Super Cup for the second consecutive season, having only achieved this once before. The previous edition of this trophy ended in a defeat for Stuttgart against Bayer Leverkusen in a penalty shootout after a 2-2 draw in regular time. During the off-season, the team played four friendly matches, winning three of them.
In the summer, the club welcomed defender Lorenz Assignon and forward Lazar Jovanovic. Meanwhile, midfielder Enzo Millot left the club.
- The team lost in regular time in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga and the German Cup.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of Stuttgart's last 7 home games in these tournaments.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Stuttgart's last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga and the national Cup.
Predicted lineup for Stuttgart (4-5-1)
Alexander Nübel – Maximilian Mittelstädt, Jeff Chabot, Finn Eltsch, Lorenz Assignon – Chris Führich, Angelo Stiller, Nick Woltemade, Atakan Karazor, Jamie Leweling – Deniz Undav.
Forward Silas Mvumpa will miss the match due to injury.
Bayern Munich
Last season, the Munich side won the Bundesliga, claiming the championship for the 34th time. Bayern did so convincingly, finishing 13 points ahead of second-placed Bayer Leverkusen. The team's participation in the German Super Cup will be their 19th, having previously won the trophy ten times. The last victory occurred in the 2022/23 season when they defeated RB Leipzig 5-3 in the final match. Notably, during the off-season, the team participated in the Club World Cup, reaching the quarter-finals before losing to PSG (0-2). Additionally, Bayern played three friendly matches, in which they outperformed their opponents.
During the summer transfer window, the club signed defender Jonathan Tah and forward Luis Diaz. Meanwhile, midfielder João Palhinha, along with forwards Thomas Müller, Leroy Sané, and Mathys Tel, left the team.
- The Munich side is unbeaten in their last nine away matches in the Bundesliga (6 wins, 3 draws).
- The team scored at least three goals in 5 of their last 6 away games in the league.
- At least four goals were scored in 5 of Bayern's last 6 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Konrad Laimer – Luis Diaz, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Joshua Kimmich, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
Defender Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 18 (Bundesliga and German Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 28%.
Match Prediction: Stuttgart vs. Bayern Munich
Even though Bayern will play on the opponent's field, their chances of winning, in my opinion, look more favorable. Stuttgart was not convincing at home towards the end of last season, losing 5 of their last 6 home league matches. Their only victory in this period came against Augsburg, where Stuttgart played with a numerical advantage from the 12th minute. Additionally, during this period, the team even managed to lose to Heidenheim, who were relegated to the second Bundesliga.
Bayern, on the other hand, performs strongly even away from home, remaining unbeaten in nine away league matches (6 wins, 3 draws). Furthermore, in 7 of their last 8 away league games, the team scored at least twice. It's also worth noting that Bayern has been very successful on Stuttgart's field in head-to-head encounters: Bayern has been stronger than this opponent in 14 of their last 15 league and German Cup matches.
I believe Vincent Kompany's side will be able to defeat Stuttgart in regular time. My prediction: Bayern Munich to win
