Match of Matchday 7 of the group stage of the Champions League 2025/26 between Sporting CP (Portugal) and Paris Saint-Germain (France) will take place on 20 January at José Alvalade Stadium in Lisbon. Sporting CP vs Paris Saint-Germain: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Sporting CP
Sporting CP failed to take points from Bayern in the last round of the Champions League (1:3). The home side ended a three-match unbeaten run in this European competition (2 wins, 1 draw); previously they had lost only away at Napoli (1:2). The hosts continue to score in every match of the current Champions League season, while keeping a clean sheet only once, against Club Brugge (3:0). Due to the defeat in Germany the home side dropped to 14th place in the group, but only 2 points are missing to reach the top eight. Note that in the current Champions League campaign the hosts have a perfect record at their own stands. A victory over Paris Saint-Germain will guarantee a place in the play-offs.
- The home side scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
- The club's uncompromising home run in this tournament lasts 4 games (3 wins, 1 loss).
- Sporting CP won with the handicap (+1.5) in 6 of their 7 previous Champions League matches.
Potential Sporting CP Lineup (4-2-3-1)
Rui Silva – Iván Fresneda, Gonçalo Inácio, Matheus Reis, Maximiliano Araújo – Hidemasa Morita, Morten Hjulmand – Geny Catamo, Alisson Santos, Francisco Trincão – Luis Suárez.
Midfielder Morten Hjulmand is suspended. Defenders Ousmane Diomande and Eduardo Quaresma, midfielders Giovanni Kenda, Pedro Gonçalves, Salvador Blopa and Nuno Santos, and forward Fotis Ioannidis will miss out due to injuries.
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain's last Champions League match ended in a goalless draw with Athletic. That result ended an 11-match scoring run for the visitors in this competition, and the visiting team had not drawn in the Champions League since October 2024. Nevertheless the visitors occupy a high third place in the group, and the single point taken in Spain ensured at least participation in the play-offs. Also, since the start of the current Champions League season the visitors have scored a total of 19 goals, the best figure alongside Borussia Dortmund.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Paris Saint-Germain's last 5 Champions League matches.
- Paris Saint-Germain scored in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this competition.
- Paris Saint-Germain did not lose in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches (7 wins, 1 draw).
Potential Paris Saint-Germain Lineup (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Ilya Zabarnyi, Marquinhos, Nuno Mendes, William Pacho – Fabián Ruiz, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Note that Luis Enrique has a limited choice of players, as only 18 were included in the match squad and there will be just 5 outfield substitutes. Defender Lucas Hernandez is serving a suspension. Goalkeeper Matvey Safonov, as well as midfielders Lee Kang-in, João Neves and Quentin Ndjantu are out due to injuries. Ashraf Hakimi and Ibrahima Mbaye were rested after participation in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 40%.
Sporting CP vs Paris Saint-Germain: Match Prediction
The opponents have become accustomed to regularly delivering entertaining matches. For example, in 5 of Sporting CP's last 6 Champions League matches in the current season at least 3 goals were scored. All three previous home matches in this tournament for the club were high-scoring. Looking at the last seven home games in the Champions League, fewer than three goals were seen in only one match, against Bologna (1:1).
Paris Saint-Germain's previous Champions League match ended in a goalless draw, but such an outcome is very rare for the visitors — a similar result had not occurred in this competition since October 2015. In each of the last 7 Champions League matches involving Paris Saint-Germain the total reached at least 3 goals, and even higher scoring was often observed. Considering Paris Saint-Germain's away games, at least 3 goals were scored in 6 of their last 9 Champions League away matches.
The obvious forecast is Over 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
