Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Sparta Prague (Czech Republic) and Atletico Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 26 at the Epet Arena. Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Predicted lineups for Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid
Sparta Prague (3-4-3): Peter Vindahl-Jensen – Martin Vitík, Filip Panák, Elias Kobbo – Tomáš Wiesner, Kaan Kairinen, Qazim Laci, Matěj Rynesh – Albion Rrahmani, Victor Olatunji, Victor Olatunji.
Atletico Madrid (3-5-2): Jan Oblak – Axel Witsel, Clément Lenglet, Reinildo Mandava – Javi Galán, Nahuel Molina, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios – Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.
Sparta Prague
The Czechs have only one victory after four rounds, having defeated Salzburg (3-0) at the start of the tournament. Since then, Sparta has not won, drawing with Stuttgart (1-1) and losing to Manchester City (0-5) and Brest (1-2). The club is in 26th place with 4 points. Before these two defeats, Sparta had a 10-match unbeaten run in regular time in the Champions League (6 wins and 4 draws).
- At least two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the last 11 matches of the Czechs in this tournament.
- Sparta has scored in regular time in 10 of their last 11 Champions League games.
- The team hasn't lost in the second half in six consecutive home matches in the Champions League (4 wins and 2 draws).
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards are only three positions higher than the Czechs. Atletico has earned six points in this campaign, having beaten Leipzig (2-1) at home and unexpectedly defeating PSG away (2-1) in the last round. They also suffered losses to Benfica (0-4) and Lille (1-3). Notably, the team has gone 11 consecutive Champions League matches without a draw in regular time (7 wins and 4 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the last seven matches of Atletico in the Champions League.
- Both teams have scored in regular time in 6 of the last 7 games of the club in this tournament.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score of 6 of Atletico's last 8 Champions League matches.
Sparta Prague vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
Although the Czechs have decent records in the Champions League in recent matches, they have achieved victories over much weaker opponents in the qualifying rounds of this tournament. Once Sparta faces representatives of top European leagues, problems arise, as seen in their last home game against Brest. The Spaniards will aim to secure three points in this encounter, as their challenging schedule is behind them, and ahead lie two matches with clubs from Eastern Europe. By winning these matches, Atletico can re-enter the race for a spot among the top eight in the group stage.
I believe the visitors will win in the Czech Republic. Atletico rarely plays against opponents of such a low level as Sparta in the Champions League, so they should handle the Czechs without issues, even on their turf. In their last away match, the Spaniards even defeated PSG, which has been consistently considered a contender for the Champions League title in recent years.
My prediction: Atletico Madrid to win