The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Serbia and Austria will take place on March 23 at the Rajko Mitić Stadium in Belgrade. The first match ended in a 1-1 draw. Serbia vs. Austria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Serbia
The Balkans were satisfied with the result of the first game, which ended in a draw (1-1). Dragan Stojković's team was outplayed in all aspects away from home but managed to avoid defeat with just one shot on target. Now, to come out on top in the two-legged tie, Serbia needs to win in regular time in the return match. Notably, the team has drawn their last three matches in the Nations League.
- Serbia has not won in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (4 draws, 2 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Serbia's last 8 Nations League matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Serbia's last 8 matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Serbia (3-2-3-2)
Predrag Rajković – Srđan Babić, Strahinja Eraković, Ognjen Mitrović – Nemanja Maksimović, Nemanja Gudelj – Lazar Samardžić, Saša Lukić, Veljko Birmančević – Dušan Vlahović, Luka Jović.
Austria
The Austrians were unlikely satisfied with the result of the home match. The team dominated the game, outplaying their opponent in xG 2.31 to 0.36, in shots on goal 24 to 8, and in ball possession but were inefficient in attack. Now they need to win in the Balkans to advance to League A. If the result is a draw again, extra time will be played. Notably, Ralf Rangnick's team has not lost in this tournament for five matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
- Austria has won only three of their last 12 Nations League games (4 draws, 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Austria's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- At least two goals have been scored in the last 15 Nations League matches.
Predicted lineup for Austria (3-5-2)
Alexander Schlager – David Alaba, Philipp Lienhart, Phillipp Mwene – Nicolas Seiwald, Florian Grillitsch, Patrick Wimmer, Christoph Baumgartner, Romano Schmid – Marko Arnautović, Michael Gregoritsch.
Referee
José María Sánchez Martínez (Spain)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 13%.
Serbia vs. Austria: Match Prediction
It will be challenging for Austria to overcome Serbia after failing to defeat them in Vienna. The Balkans are much stronger at home, where they have not lost in five consecutive home Nations League matches (3 wins, 2 draws). At the same time, Serbia has no reason to sit back in defense as they need to win in regular time. Notably, the team has scored in 7 of their last 9 home matches at the official level.
Austria will also need to push forward and attack, as they too need to score to tilt the balance in their favor. The visitors are likely to find the net, given their 8-match scoring streak in the Nations League, and they have scored in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament. Additionally, both teams have scored in the last four head-to-head meetings in all competitions.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes