The second leg of the 2024/25 Nations League playoff between Scotland and Greece will take place on March 23 at Hampden Park in Glasgow. The score of the first match was 1-0 in favor of Scotland. Scotland vs. Greece: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Scotland
Steve Clarke's team secured a crucial victory in Greece, scoring the only goal of the match from a penalty (1-0). The low-scoring result of the first meeting was not a coincidence, as both teams managed only three shots on target combined, with two of them coming from Scotland. Now, to remain in League A, Scotland only needs to avoid defeat in their home game. Notably, the team has won three consecutive matches in the Nations League.
- Scotland opened the scoring in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament.
- The team scored in 11 of their last 12 home games in the Nations League.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Scotland's last 8 home matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Scotland (4-2-3-1)
Craig Gordon – Grant Hanley, Andrew Robertson, John Souttar, Anthony Ralston – Billy Gilmour, Kenny McLean – Scott McTominay, John McGinn, Lewis Ferguson – Che Adams.
Greece
Ivan Jovanovic's side hoped to secure a victory in the first encounter, attacking more but only outshooting the opponent in total attempts (24:8). However, they struggled with accuracy and finishing. Due to ineffective finishing, Greece lost at home and now needs to defeat Scotland at their stadium by at least two goals. If they win by one goal, extra time will be required.
- Greece has an uncompromising series in this tournament of 13 matches (10 wins and 3 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in 15 of Greece's last 17 Nations League matches.
- Greece has not conceded more than one goal in their last nine away matches in the Nations League.
Predicted lineup for Greece (4-2-3-1)
Kostas Tzolakis – Lazaros Rota, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Kostas Koulierakis, Kostas Tsimikas – Petros Mantalos, Emmanouil Siopis – Christos Tzolis, Georgios Masouras, Giannis Konstantelias – Fotis Ioannidis.
Referee
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 17;
Penalties – 18%.
Match Prediction: Scotland vs. Greece
Despite Greece's strong performance in League B, even against the English, they struggled against an experienced opponent. Greece lost to a team not necessarily stronger but one that knows how to play for results and executes the tactical plan set by the head coach. I believe Scotland will not play open football in the return leg, focusing more on defense while not forgetting to counterattack.
Beating Scotland at home is incredibly difficult. In their last 11 home matches in the Nations League, the team has lost only once (8 wins and 2 draws). Moreover, in 8 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, Scotland did not concede more than one goal. Greece has good away records in the Nations League, but they previously faced weaker opponents, except for the match in England. Additionally, in 6 of Greece's last 7 away matches in this tournament, no more than two goals were scored.
My prediction: "1X and Total under 2.5 goals"
* Each team's starting lineup is based on their previous match.