The Matchday 5 clash in the Fonbet Russian Cup 2025/26 Regional Path between Rodina and Chelyabinsk will take place on October 15 at the Arena Khimki. Rodina vs. Chelyabinsk: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Rodina
In the previous round, the team secured an emphatic 3-0 away victory over SKA-Khabarovsk. As a result, the Moscow club has won 5 of their last 7 matches in the Russian Cup (1 draw and 1 loss in regular time). Their scoring streak in this tournament now spans 15 matches. Moreover, Rodina has scored at least twice in 11 of these encounters. It is worth noting that last season, the team failed to advance past the 5th stage of this competition.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Rodina's last 8 matches in the national cup.
- The club has not won in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the Russian Cup (1 draw, 4 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Rodina's last 8 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Rodina (4-4-2)
Sergey Aidarov – Artem Beskibalny, Leo Goglichidze, Vladislav Samko, Alexander Alekhin – Daniil Chernyshev, Ruslan Maltsev, Arshak Koryan, Dmitry Markitesov – Gleb Knyazev, Svyatoslav Kozhedub.
Chelyabinsk
In the previous round, the team claimed a 3-2 away victory over Irkutsk. Chelyabinsk has made progress compared to the previous season when they were eliminated in the 4th round. Notably, the team has not lost in 4 of their last 6 matches in the national cup (3 wins and 1 draw in regular time). However, Chelyabinsk has kept a clean sheet in only two matches during this period. The club last reached the 5th round in the 2016/17 season.
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 matches in the national cup.
- Chelyabinsk has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (2 draws, 4 losses).
- Chelyabinsk scored in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Russian Cup.
Predicted lineup for Chelyabinsk (4-4-2)
Vladimir Zadyraka – Vasily Palkin, Alan Agaev, Alexander Gapechkin, Rail Abdulllin – Alexey Nikitenkov, Alexander Nosov, Danila Yemelyanov, Elizar Glukhov – Matvey Urvancev, Denis Pushkarev.
Referee
Stanislav Matveev (Russia)
Matches – 5 (Russian Cup, 2021/22 - 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Rodina vs. Chelyabinsk: Match Prediction
The opponents met less than a month ago in the FNL. The match in Chelyabinsk ended in a resounding 4-0 victory for the hosts. Surely, the Moscow side has not forgotten this result, and Rodina will be eager to secure an equally convincing revenge. The team has an impressive attacking potential, as evidenced by their excellent scoring record in the First League, where they have scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 matches. In the Russian Cup, Rodina boasts an impressive goal-scoring streak. However, they have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 2 of their last 8 home games in the second most prestigious tournament.
Chelyabinsk is performing confidently in the FNL 2025/26, so Roman Pilipchuk's side might engage in open football. This was evident in their recent head-to-head encounter. In the national cup, Chelyabinsk has scored in 5 of their last 7 away matches. However, the team's defense lacks reliability, as they have only kept a clean sheet against amateur teams in their last 8 away cup games.
My prediction: Total over 2 goals
