The Matchday 38 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will take place on May 24 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
Despite significant injury issues, Madrid managed to secure victories in their last two league matches. They first defeated Mallorca at home (2-1) and then overcame Sevilla on the road (2-0). It's worth noting that they only managed to beat Sevilla after the latter were reduced to nine men. The club will finish the season in second place in the standings, which is already secured.
- Real have won 9 of their last 11 La Liga games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Madrid's last 6 home league matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 home games in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Andriy Lunin – Jesus Vallejo, Fran Garcia, Jacobo Ramon, Federico Valverde – Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Due to injuries, defenders David Alaba, Ferland Mendy, and Dani Carvajal, midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, and forwards Endrick Felipe and Rodrygo Goes are out. Defender Antonio Rudiger is suspended for six matches and is also out for two months due to injury. Midfielder Jude Bellingham will miss the game due to yellow card accumulation. The participation of midfielder Brahim Diaz and defender Raul Asensio in the final round is doubtful.
Real Sociedad
Imanol Alguacil's team defeated Girona 3-2 at home in the last round. Before that, the team had gone six league matches without a win, drawing twice and suffering four defeats. This poor run cost them a chance at European competition, as they sit in 11th place, five points behind the top eight.
- At least three goals have been scored in 12 of the last 17 league matches for the Basques.
- Real Sociedad have won only 1 of their last 10 away La Liga matches (2 draws and 7 losses).
- The club has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
Predicted lineup for Real Sociedad (4-3-3)
Alejandro Remiro – Amari Traore, Javi Lopez, Igor Zubeldia, Aritz Elustondo – Martin Zubimendi, Pablo Marin Tejada, Brais Mendez – Ander Barrenetxea, Takefusa Kubo, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Referee
Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 44%.
Match Prediction for Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
Madrid are finishing this season without any trophies. As the championship concludes, the team is dealing with a crowded injury list. Without tournament motivation, Real no longer needs to push forward and aim to defeat their opponent by a large margin. Even without such injury problems and while still having a chance to win the championship, Real did not secure convincing wins – only one victory by two or more goals in their last 12 La Liga matches.
I believe the hosts will drop points, or the victory will be minimal. This is despite Carlo Ancelotti's farewell match with Real. The players want to rest quickly and avoid new injuries, as they have club World Cup games in mid-June. Real Sociedad have not lost by more than one goal in 9 of their last 11 league matches. They also have not lost by such a margin in 7 of their last 10 head-to-head La Liga meetings.
My prediction: Real Sociedad with a handicap (+1.5)
