The Matchday 29 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Leganes will take place on March 29 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Leganes: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The capital club approaches this round after two hard-fought 2-1 victories in the league. First, Madrid defeated Rayo Vallecano at home, and then they managed to overcome Villarreal on the road. Carlo Ancelotti's side currently sits in second place in the standings. After 28 matches played in the current La Liga season, the club has scored 59 goals, which is the second-best result in the league (the best being Barcelona with 75 goals).
- No more than three goals have been scored in Real Madrid's last eight La Liga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 league games involving Madrid.
- The club has won 6 of their last 7 home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Raul Asensio, Federico Valverde, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham – Brahim Diaz, Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.
Due to injuries, defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Dani Ceballos, are out of action. Thibaut Courtois' participation in the match is questionable.
Leganes
Borja Jimenez's side lost in the last two La Liga rounds. The team was defeated away by Celta (1-2) and also at home by Betis (2-3). It is noteworthy that this season, the club from the Madrid suburbs only lost three consecutive matches at the beginning of the championship. Leganes is in the relegation zone but is only behind Alaves, who are in the safe 17th place, by additional indicators.
- In the last eight La Liga matches, the club has only one victory (2 draws and 5 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Leganes' last 10 league games.
- In 6 of their last 7 away matches in La Liga, the second half ended in a draw.
Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-5-1)
Marko Dmitrovic – Matija Nastasic, Valentin Rosier, Javi Hernandez Carrera, Sergio Gonzalez – Juan Cruz, Ivan Neyu, Seydouba Cisse, Darko Brasanac, Renato Tapia – Dani Raba.
Defender Borna Barisic is out due to injury.
Referee
Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 7%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Leganes
Madrid is incredibly strong at home, having lost only once in their last 37 La Liga matches – to Barcelona. During this period, the club has recorded 31 wins and five draws. This season, Real has played 13 matches at home in La Liga and won nine times by two or more goals. The team is solely focused on securing three points in the upcoming game, as any slip-up at the end of the season could result in falling significantly behind the leading Barcelona.
Leganes, in the current La Liga season, has played 14 away matches but has only secured one victory. The team enters the upcoming match with a three-game losing streak away from home in the league, with a goal difference of 1:7 in these games. Additionally, over the last eight years, the opponents have met four times at the Santiago Bernabeu, and Real has emerged victorious in each encounter. In 3 of these 4 meetings, Madrid won by a large margin.
My prediction – Real Madrid with a handicap (-1.5)