Matchday 19 of the Bundesliga between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen will take place on January 25 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Leipzig vs. Bayer
Leipzig (3-4-3): Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Nicolas Seiwald – David Raum, Arthur Vermeeren, Kevin Kampl, Bote Baku – Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Xavi Simons.
Bayer (4-4-2): Lukas Hradecky – Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur – Florian Wirtz, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Martin Terrier – Patrik Schick, Nathan Tella.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side disappointed their fans in the last round with a 3-3 draw against Bochum, squandering a three-goal lead. Leipzig has only one win in their last four league matches (1 draw, 2 losses), but they have scored in every game during this stretch. The team has dropped to fifth place in the standings, with the highest number of goals conceded among the teams in European competition spots – 27.
- At least three goals have been scored in Leipzig's last five Bundesliga matches.
- The team has not lost in 14 of their last 15 home league games (10 wins, 4 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Leipzig's last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Bayer
Leverkusen secured their eighth consecutive league win in the last round. Xabi Alonso's team had no trouble defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 and remain Bayern Munich's closest challengers, trailing by four points. Bayer's excellent scoring record is worth noting: they have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Bayer's last 9 league matches.
- The team is unbeaten in 25 away Bundesliga matches (19 wins, 6 draws).
- Bayer has scored first in their last 7 matches in this tournament.
Leipzig vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
In the first round, the teams entertained the crowd with a high-scoring game. Leipzig defeated Leverkusen 3-2, ending Bayer's legendary unbeaten run. It will be challenging for the hosts to secure another victory, as Xabi Alonso's side is in excellent form and unbeaten in their last 16 Bundesliga matches. However, I expect another high-scoring encounter.
Leipzig has the second-best record for clean sheets in the current league season. However, their defense looked strong at the start of the tournament, but Marco Rose's side has only one clean sheet in their last 8 Bundesliga matches. In six of these games, they conceded at least two goals. Leipzig ranks fourth from the bottom in xGA. Nevertheless, their scoring streak in this tournament stands at 8 matches.
Last season, Bayer had conceded only 14 goals after 18 rounds. This time, they have conceded 10 more goals, managing to keep a clean sheet in only three Bundesliga 2024/25 matches. However, their attack compensates for these deficiencies: they are scoring at last season's level. Considering these factors, my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
