The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between PSV (Netherlands) and Atletico Madrid (Spain) will take place on December 9 at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven. PSV – Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSV
In the last round of the Champions League the side produced a shock away demolition of Liverpool (4-1). The win at Anfield was PSV’s biggest away victory in the main phase of this competition this season. The Dutch side extended their unbeaten run in the Champions League to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). In the table the club moved up to 15th place, which secures participation in the play-offs. PSV are two points short of the automatic qualification zone for the last 16. Notably, their only defeat in this Champions League campaign came at home, but overall the team have avoided defeat in 12 of their last 13 home matches at the group or main stage of European competitions (8 wins, 4 draws). Their home attacking form is impressive too — PSV scored 17 goals across their previous five home matches in this phase of the Champions League.
- The club covered a +1.5 handicap in 14 of their last 16 Champions League games.
- PSV’s uncompromising home run in this competition stands at seven matches (5 wins, 2 losses).
- At least two goals have been scored in 11 of the team’s Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup PSV (4-4-2)
Matěj Kovář – Anass Salah-Eddine, Jarek Gassorovski, Jerdy Schouten, Sergino Dest – Joey Veerman, Paul Wanner, Dennis Man, Ismaël Saïbari – Ricardo Pepi, Gus Til.
Forward Alassane Pléa is recovering from injury. Defender Mauro Júnior and midfielder Ivan Perišić could return to the squad.
Atletico Madrid
The Spaniards began the Champions League with two defeats in their first three matches, but then recorded back-to-back wins. By defeating Inter and Union with a combined 5-2 scoreline, Atletico improved their position in the table. The club currently sit 12th, one point shy of the top eight. Diego Simeone’s side have tended to pick up points at home — both of their away matches this season ended in defeat. Another concern is that Atletico have yet to keep a clean sheet in this edition of the competition. On a brighter note, the Madrid outfit have avoided defeat in eight consecutive European matches against Dutch clubs (6 wins, 2 draws).
- Atletico scored in 12 of their last 13 Champions League matches.
- The team’s uncompromising streak in this competition runs to 22 games (15 wins, 7 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in each of Atletico’s five matches so far this Champions League season.
Predicted lineup Atletico Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Jan Oblak – Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, Clément Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri – Koke, Conor Gallagher – Nicolás González, Antoine Griezmann, Giuliano Simeone – Julián Álvarez.
Defender José María Giménez, and midfielders Marcos Llorente and Álex Baena are unavailable through injury. Joao Cardoso’s participation is doubtful.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 0%.
PSV – Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction
PSV are renowned for their proactive approach regardless of the opposition — they rarely sit back and prefer to attack. The Dutch side seldom keep clean sheets but compensate with aggressive forward play. Consequently, both teams scored in all 11 of PSV’s previous Champions League matches in 2025. That attacking mindset has delivered results too: across those 11 matches under Peter Bos, PSV suffered just three defeats and are currently on a four-game unbeaten run in this competition (2 wins, 2 draws). At home they have not lost in 12 of their last 14 Champions League matches (8 wins, 4 draws), and only two of those 14 ended without both teams scoring.
Atletico are also a high-risk, high-reward side — effective going forward but occasionally unbalanced at the back. Both teams scored in eight of Atletico’s last 10 Champions League matches. In terms of results, Simeone’s team tend to alternate home victories with away defeats: Atletico have lost three consecutive away games in this competition, and have managed just four wins from their last 16 European away fixtures (2 draws, 10 defeats).
Prediction – PSV win or draw + both teams to score – yes
