The Matchday 37 clash in Serie A between Parma and Napoli will take place on May 18 at the Ennio Tardini Stadium. Parma vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Parma
In the last round, Cristian Chivu's side suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Empoli. As a result, Parma has secured just one victory in their last ten league matches (6 draws, 3 losses). Notably, the team conceded more than one goal for only the fourth time in their previous 12 Serie A encounters. In the league standings, the club is positioned 16th with 32 points, and a win would secure their place in the top division. It's worth mentioning that Parma has conceded 28 goals at home this season, with only two teams having a worse record.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (3 draws, 3 losses).
- The club scored exactly one or two goals in 8 of their last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Parma's last 12 home matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Parma (4-3-3)
Zion Suzuki – Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti, Giovanni Leoni, Enrico Del Prato – Antony Enno, Simon Zom, Mandela Keita – Jakob Ondrejka, Mateo Pellegrino, Ange-Yoan Bonny.
Defender Alessandro Vogliacco, midfielder Adrian Bernabe, and forwards Valentin Mihaila and Gabriel Charpentier will miss the game due to injuries. Defender Lautaro Valenti is suspended.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side could not overcome Genoa in their last home match (2-2). As a result, Napoli's four-match winning streak in the league ended, and for the first time in ten Serie A games, they conceded more than one goal. Nevertheless, the team continues to lead the standings with 78 points, although their lead over second-placed Inter has been reduced to one point. Notably, Napoli boasts a solid defense, having conceded the fewest goals in the league this season (27).
- The club has not lost in 16 of their last 17 away matches in Serie A (10 wins, 6 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of their last 7 away league matches.
- Napoli scored a maximum of one goal in their last five away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Giacomo Raspadori, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku.
Defenders Alessandro Buongiorno and Juan Jesus will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 16 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Parma vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
Despite recent setbacks in the league, Cristian Chivu's side is capable of putting up a strong fight against Napoli. At home, Parma battles for points until the end and has not lost in 4 of their last 5 home Serie A matches (2 wins, 2 draws). During this period, they achieved positive results against Bologna (2-0), Inter (2-2), and Juventus (1-0). In their last 11 home league encounters, the club has only once lost by more than one goal.
Napoli has not been convincing in recent away matches, securing just two wins in their last seven away Serie A games (4 draws, 1 loss). In both victories, Antonio Conte's side managed only a narrow advantage, despite facing Monza, already relegated to Serie B, and Lecce, fighting for survival. Additionally, during this stretch, Napoli failed to win against Venezia (0-0) and Como (1-2).
I believe the visitors will face a tough challenge, considering the high stakes. My prediction: Parma with a handicap (+1)
