The first leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between PSG (France) and Liverpool (England) will take place on March 5 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. PSG vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians' clash with Brest in the previous round was marked by several records. After a 3-0 away victory, Luis Enrique's squad demolished their opponents at home with a 7-0 win. This victory became PSG's largest in European competition history. Additionally, the team did not concede a single goal in a Champions League knockout stage for the first time. The French side has won five consecutive Champions League matches and reached the Round of 16 for the 13th time in a row.
- The Parisians have scored at least three goals in their last five Champions League games.
- At home, the club has not lost in 15 of their last 19 Champions League matches (12 wins, 3 draws).
- PSG has conceded in 5 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Liverpool
The English side excelled in the main round. Arne Slot's squad won their first seven matches of the tournament and were the first to secure a place in the Champions League Round of 16. A loss to PSV in the last round slightly marred the overall picture, but it's worth noting that the team played with a second-string lineup in that match. Nevertheless, even with this roster, Liverpool scored twice, marking the sixth time they have scored at least two goals in this tournament edition. The British team last reached the Champions League quarter-finals in the 2020/21 season.
- The club has opened the scoring in their last 7 Champions League matches.
- Liverpool has not drawn in their last 16 away games in this tournament (12 wins, 4 losses).
- In 6 of their last 7 away Champions League matches, the English side has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
Defenders Joseph Gomez and Conor Bradley are injured.
Referee
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
PSG vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
After a shaky start to the group stage, the Parisians steamrolled their opponents. Luis Enrique's squad secured five consecutive victories with an aggregate score of 21:3. This stretch included a win over another English club, Manchester City (4:2). The French attack has been impressive, but there are questions about their defense. PSG has scored in their last 5 home Champions League matches, but they managed to keep a clean sheet only against Girona and Brest. The Spaniards were one of the least prolific teams in the main round, while the Bretons suffered heavily against the Parisians this season.
Eight teams in the group scored more than Liverpool, but the English side is always focused on attack. In their national championship, Arne Slot's squad leads in scoring. Five clean sheets for the British team are impressive, but away from home, they also didn't concede against the aforementioned Girona and the disappointing Leipzig.
The attacking potential of both teams is very high. Not every defense can withstand it. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
