The Matchday 29 clash in the Russian Premier League between Orenburg and Krasnodar will take place on May 17 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Krasnodar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's side shared the spoils with Khimki at home in the last round (1-1). As a result, Orenburg managed to avoid defeat for the fifth time in their last eight league matches (3 wins, 2 draws). However, the team failed to keep a clean sheet for the seventh consecutive RPL game. In the standings, the club is in 15th place with 19 points, and if they fail to win, they will be relegated from the Premier League. Notably, only Pari NN has conceded more goals (51) than Orenburg (50) in the current championship.
- The club has not won in 11 of their last 13 home matches in the RPL (5 draws, 6 losses).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 5 of the team's last 7 home league games.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Orenburg's last 12 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Nikolai Sysuev – Georgy Zotov, Artem Kasimov, Andrey Malykh, Danila Prokhin – Alexey Tataev, Dmitry Rybchinsky, Maxim Savelyev, Ivan Bashich, Emirdzhan Gyurlyuk – Brian Mansilla.
Goalkeeper Bogdan Moskvichev and midfielder Gabriel Florentin will miss the game due to injuries.
Krasnodar
In the previous round, Murad Musaev's side fell to CSKA on their turf, losing 1-0. Consequently, Krasnodar's three-match winning streak in the league came to an end, and they failed to keep a clean sheet for the fifth consecutive Premier League game. The team also failed to score for the first time in their last ten RPL matches. Despite this, the club remains at the top of the standings with 61 points, although their lead over second-placed Zenit has been reduced to one point. Notably, Krasnodar has scored 26 away goals in the current championship, only Zenit has a higher tally (27).
- The team has not lost in 13 of their last 15 away matches in the RPL (9 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Krasnodar's last 11 away Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Stanislav Agkatsev – Lucas Olaza, Kaio, Diego Costa, Sergey Petrov – Eduard Spertsyan, Alexander Chernikov, Joao Batchi, Kevin Lenini, Victor Sa – John Cordoba.
Referee
Vasily Kazartsev (Russia)
Matches – 11 (RPL, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 50;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 18%.
Orenburg vs. Krasnodar: Match Prediction
For both teams, the upcoming match holds significant importance in the standings, and both opponents need a victory. Therefore, an active attacking game is expected from both Orenburg and Krasnodar. The hosts have generally shown high scoring efficiency in home matches: in 10 of their last 12 home league games, Orenburg has found the net, and on five occasions during this stretch, the club's players have scored at least twice. However, in 15 home matches this RPL season, the team has only kept a clean sheet three times.
Krasnodar prefers attacking football and regularly scores even away from home: in their last 12 away Premier League matches, Murad Musaev's side has only failed to score once. In seven games during this period, Krasnodar's players have breached the opposition's defense at least twice. Meanwhile, defending has not always been reliable: the club has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
I expect both teams to score in this encounter, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
