The first leg of the Russian Cup 2025/26 RPL Path quarter-finals between Orenburg and Krasnodar will take place on November 5 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Krasnodar: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
The team finished the group stage in second place. Orenburg did not lose in regular time in 3 out of 6 matches (2 wins, 1 draw) and ultimately finished two points ahead of their closest rival. However, the club had the worst defensive record in Group A, conceding 14 goals. Among all participants in the main round, only Sochi had a worse record (18). Notably, Orenburg last advanced past the RPL Path quarter-finals in the 2023/24 season.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Orenburg's last 7 Russian Cup games.
- In 4 of the last 5 home matches in this tournament, the team conceded no more than one goal.
- At home in the national cup, Orenburg has not won after 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-4-3)
Nikolay Sysuyev – Artem Kasimov, Stanislav Oleynik, Nikolay Koserik – Du Queiroz, Stanislav Poroikov, Pavel Gorelov, Vladislav Kamilov – Gedeon Guzina, Atsamaz Revazov, Emirjan Gyurlyuk.
Forward Atsamaz Revazov is suspended.
Krasnodar
Krasnodar topped Group B. Murad Musaev's side began the group stage with a defeat, but it remained their only loss (in regular time 4 wins and 1 draw). Notably, in 4 matches during their unbeaten run, Krasnodar scored at least twice. Overall, the club netted 14 goals, the best record in the group. Additionally, Krasnodar has progressed past the group stage for the fourth consecutive time.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of the team's last 10 national cup games.
- Krasnodar has not lost after 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The club conceded in 5 of their last 6 away Russian Cup matches.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Alexander Koryakin – Valentin Pal'tsev, Artem Khmarin, Vitor Tormena, Giovanni Gonzalez – Alexander Chernikov, Kevin Lenini, Danila Kozlov, Nikita Krivtsov, Gaetan Perrin – Gustavo Furtado.
Referee
Vasily Kazartsev (Russia)
Matches – 5 (Russian Cup, 2023/24 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 20%.
Orenburg vs. Krasnodar: Match Prediction
Orenburg ranked only third in terms of scoring in their group. Nevertheless, the team scores quite regularly in the national cup, especially in home games. At home in this tournament, the club has scored in 6 of their last 8 matches, and in 5 of those, Orenburg found the net at least twice. Notably, in the last RPL round, the team also showed good attacking play and scored three times against Sochi.
Krasnodar demonstrates excellent defensive play in the RPL, but in the Russian Cup, the team allows more opportunities at their goal. In only 3 of their last 11 matches in this tournament did Krasnodar manage to keep a clean sheet. Particularly noteworthy are the club's away results, where in their last 6 national cup games, Krasnodar conceded 11 goals. Additionally, for Murad Musaev's side, the match against Orenburg will take place amid a challenging period in the Premier League, which will likely be their main focus.
My prediction: Orenburg individual total over 0.5
