Matchday 5 of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage between Olympiacos (Greece) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 26 at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Olympiacos vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Olympiacos
The Greek side has yet to secure a win following their long-awaited return to the Champions League. In the previous round, Olympiacos was on the verge of defeating PSV but lost two points due to a goal conceded in the 93rd minute. Prior to that, the team accumulated only one point from matches against Barcelona (1-6), Arsenal (0-2), and Pafos (0-0). Notably, the club has shown low scoring efficiency, with José Luis Mendilibar's men netting just two goals this Champions League season, second only to Ajax (1) in having the fewest goals scored. Olympiacos currently sits 31st in the overall standings.
- Their winless run in the Champions League has extended to eight matches (5 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has conceded in 7 of their last 8 fixtures in this European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of Olympiacos's last 10 home games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Olympiacos (4-2-3-1)
Konstantinos Tzolakis – Rodinei, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Francisco Ortega – Santiago Esse, Christos Mouzakitis – Daniel Podence, Gelson Martins, Chiquinho – Ayoub El Kaabi.
Key midfielder Santiago Esse has served his suspension. The participation of defender Bruno Onyemaechi is in doubt.
Real Madrid
Xabi Alonso's side began their Champions League campaign with a three-match winning streak, but in the last round, they not only dropped points for the first time but also suffered a narrow defeat to Liverpool (0-1). The Spaniards failed to score, ending a run of four consecutive games in the Champions League where they found the net. The main outcome of the match for Real Madrid was their drop to 7th place in the overall standings. Notably, in this European competition season, the club has conceded only two goals, with only Inter (1) and Arsenal (0) having a better defensive record. Additionally, Real Madrid's uncompromising streak in the Champions League has reached 20 matches (13 wins, 7 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 away matches in the Champions League.
- At least three goals were scored in 10 of the Spaniards' last 13 games in this European competition.
- The club has conceded in 9 of their last 11 away fixtures in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Andriy Lunin – Álvaro Carreras, Dean Huysen, Raúl Asensio, Trent Alexander-Arnold – Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Arda Güler – Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé.
Main goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois will not be available due to a viral infection. Defenders Éder Militão, David Alaba, Antonio Rüdiger, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni, are injured. The participation of defender Dean Huysen and midfielder Franco Mastantuono is in doubt.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 0%.
Olympiacos vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Olympiacos has yet to win in this Champions League season, but both of their home matches ended in draws. The team has not lost in 11 of their last 15 home fixtures in the Champions League (7 wins, 4 draws), and a defeat by a margin of two goals has only occurred in 2 of these 15 games. It's worth noting that the Greeks fight until the end at any stadium, and Olympiacos has not lost by more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Real Madrid suffered their first Champions League defeat in the last round, but even before that, the team had faced challenges, even in more successful encounters. This European season, Xabi Alonso's side has defeated an opponent by more than two goals only in the match against Kairat (5-0), and overall, this is their only convincing victory in the last eight Champions League games. Away from home, the Spaniards have won by more than one goal in only 2 of their last 16 matches in this tournament.
The prediction is – Olympiacos with a handicap (+1.5)
