Premier League
Regular Season (29)
Newcastle United
4 March
21:15
(WAT)
Manchester United
1
2.61
X
3.84
2
2.69
U 2.5
2.45
O 2.5
1.56

Newcastle United vs Manchester United: prediction & betting odds 4 March 2026

The Premier League matchday 29 fixture between Newcastle United and Manchester United will take place on 4 March at St James' Park. Newcastle United vs Manchester United: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Newcastle United

Newcastle United hosted Everton at St James' Park last Saturday but suffered a 3:2 defeat. Interestingly, the club came from behind twice during the match, only to concede in virtually the very next attack. That was a fifth defeat in their last six league games (the other result in that run was a 2:1 win over Tottenham Hotspur). Moreover, in five of those six matches, the team conceded at least two goals. Eddie Howe's men have dropped to 13th in the standings and are now 12 points adrift of the top five. The club also have a negative goal difference (-2), something that had not been the case after 28 rounds since the 2021/22 season.

  • At least three goals have been scored in each of the team's last five Premier League matches.
  • Both teams have scored in Newcastle United's last five league games.
  • The club have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 11 home Premier League matches.

Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*

Nick Pope – Lewis Hall, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn, Malik Thiaw – Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Ramsey – Anthony Gordon, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade.

Defenders Fabian Schar, Valentino Livramento and Emil Krafth, as well as midfielders Lewis Miley and Bruno Guimaraes, will miss the match through injury.

Manchester United

Manchester United, meanwhile, are unbeaten in the league for 11 matches, recording seven wins and four draws in that run. Last time out, the team produced a comeback victory over Crystal Palace, winning 2:1. That, incidentally, was their sixth win in the last seven league matches. Thanks to this impressive spell, Manchester United have climbed to third place for the first time this season and are now aiming to catch Manchester City, whom they trail by eight points. The club also boast the Premier League's third-best attack, having scored 50 goals. The last time the Red Devils were better at this stage of a campaign was in 2022/23, when they had two more points than they do in this season's edition.

  • The club have scored at least twice in six of their last eight Premier League matches.
  • Both teams have scored in seven of Manchester United's last 10 league games.
  • On the road, the team are unbeaten in five consecutive Premier League matches (two wins and three draws).

Potential Manchester United Lineup (4-3-2-1)*

Senne Lammens – Harry Maguire, Leny Yoro, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot – Kobbie Mainoo, Casemiro – Matheus Cunha, Bruno Fernandes, Bryan Mbeumo – Benjamin Sesko.

Defender Matthijs de Ligt and midfielder Patrick Dorgu are sidelined through injury. The availability of midfielder Mason Mount, along with defenders Luke Shaw and Lisandro Martinez, remains in doubt (fitness issues).

Referee

Peter Bankes (England)

Matches – 19 (the Premier League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 75;

Yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 3;

Fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 32%.

Newcastle United vs Manchester United: Match Prediction

The two sides come into this one in very different form. Newcastle United no longer have much in the way of league motivation, having fallen well behind the top four. It appears the team are focusing all their efforts on a strong Champions League run. Manchester United, meanwhile, remain unbeaten in the Premier League this calendar year and have not ended up in third place by accident. At the same time, victories have been hard-earned for the visitors, and we would not take them to win this match. Newcastle United are very strong at home and regularly score two or more goals – that has happened in 10 of their last 11 home Premier League games.

We think the opponents will score at least three goals in this clash. While Newcastle United do regularly find the net at St James' Park, the home team have conceded two or three goals in each of their last four home Premier League matches. And in eight of the club's last 10 home games, there have been three or more goals scored. The same level of goal output has been seen in 10 of Manchester United's last 13 away Premier League matches.

Prediction: Over 3 goals

* For each team, the starting lineup listed is from their most recent match in this competition.

Newcastle United vs Manchester United Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
Bookie1X2

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