The FA Cup round-of-16 tie between Newcastle United and Manchester City will take place on 7 March at St James' Park. Newcastle United vs Manchester City: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United have come through two rounds of the competition and, in both, faced Premier League opponents who sit above them in the standings. First, the hosts edged past Bournemouth at home (2:2, aet 1:1, pens 7:6), before then producing a surprise 3:1 away win over Aston Villa. It is worth noting that the club are unbeaten in normal time in the FA Cup across five straight matches (3 wins and 2 draws). In the 21st century, Newcastle United's best achievement was reaching the semi-finals in 2005. Last season, meanwhile, the team went out at the round-of-16 stage, losing to Brighton (1:1, aet 0:1).
- Only Manchester City have managed to beat Newcastle United in normal time across their last nine matches in this tournament (5 wins and 3 draws).
- Both teams have scored in the club's last five FA Cup matches.
- At home, the team have failed to win 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament (3 draws and 2 losses).
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*
Aaron Ramsdale – Lewis Hall, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn, Malick Thiaw – Sandro Tonali, William Osula, Jacob Ramsey – Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade.
Midfielder Jacob Ramsey is unavailable due to suspension.
Manchester City
Manchester City have had a kind draw so far, having faced lower-league opposition in each of the previous two rounds, and on both occasions played at home. In their first match, the club thrashed Exeter City 10:1, before then beating Salford City 2:0. It is also worth adding that the team have won 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament. Manchester City lifted the FA Cup in 2023, after which they reached the final in two consecutive seasons, but lost to Manchester United and Crystal Palace.
- The team have won 18 of their last 20 matches in this tournament (with the two defeats coming in finals).
- Manchester City have scored at least twice in 7 of their last 8 FA Cup games.
- Away from home in this tournament, the visitors are on a nine-match winning run.
Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3)*
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Rayan Ait-Nouri, John Stones, Abdukodir Khusanov, Max Alleyn – Rico Lewis, Nico O'Reilly, Tijjani Reijnders – Rayan Cherki, Omar Marmoush, Phil Foden.
Referee
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 20 (the Premier League and English cups, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Match Prediction
Manchester City, judging by the results, really love this competition, having consistently reached the final in each of the last three seasons. We think the team will be able to make it to the showpiece match again this year and compete for the trophy. Manchester City have an outstanding record in this tournament and, if they do lose, it tends to be exclusively in the final.
The visitors' current form also works in their favour. After all, the club remain in a title race with Arsenal in the Premier League, have reached the EFL Cup final, and will also face Real Madrid in the Champions League round of 16 next week. It is worth noting that across their last nine official matches, Manchester City have recorded 9 wins and 1 draw. Newcastle United, meanwhile, have managed just one win in their last six FA Cup home matches. The club are also clearly having a disastrous Premier League season. In addition, Manchester City have won 14 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings across all English competitions.
Prediction: Manchester City to win
* For each team, the starting XI from their last match in this tournament is shown.
