The Matchday 38 clash in Serie A between Napoli and Cagliari will take place on May 23 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Cagliari: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side dropped points in their last away match against Parma (0-0). Nevertheless, Napoli extended their unbeaten run in the league to 11 matches (6 wins, 5 draws). Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet for the fifth time in their last six Serie A matches. The Neapolitans remain at the top of the standings with 79 points, maintaining a one-point lead over second-placed Inter. If the club loses this round and the Milanese team draws, an additional match for the championship will be scheduled. Notably, Napoli has conceded only 27 goals this season, the best defensive record in the league.
- The club is unbeaten in their last ten home matches in Serie A (7 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Napoli's last 8 home league matches.
- The Neapolitans have scored at least two goals in their last five home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Giacomo Raspadori, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku.
Defender Juan Jesus is sidelined due to injury. Head coach Antonio Conte is suspended for this match.
Cagliari
In the previous round, Davide Nicola's side convincingly defeated Venezia at home (3-0). This marked only Cagliari's second victory in their last seven league matches (1 draw, 4 losses). Furthermore, the club secured a resounding win for the third time in 2025 in Serie A. The Sardinians have achieved their objective of retaining their place in Italy's top division for next season, amassing 36 points and moving five points clear of the relegation zone.
- The team has failed to win in 8 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (3 draws, 5 losses).
- Cagliari has not conceded more than two goals in 9 of their last 11 away league games.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in 9 of Cagliari's last 11 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (3-5-2)
Elia Caprile – Sebastiano Luperto, Yerry Mina, Gabriele Zappa – Michel Adopo, Nadir Zortea, Antoine Makoumbou, Tommaso Augello, Alessandro Deiola – Zito Luvumbo, Roberto Piccoli.
Forward Zito Luvumbo is out due to injury.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 38%.
Napoli vs. Cagliari: Match Prediction
The Neapolitans are on the brink of securing the championship. They need a win and have excellent chances to achieve this on their home turf – in 4 of their last 5 home Serie A matches, Antonio Conte's side has emerged victorious. However, Napoli cannot boast high scoring prowess: in their last 14 home league matches, the club has not scored more than two goals. Even against opponents like Lecce, Verona, Venezia, and Udinese, Napoli has scored a maximum of two goals.
Cagliari has already resolved their issues and lacks tournament motivation. Moreover, in their last eight away Serie A encounters, the Sardinians have suffered five defeats. Davide Nicola's side also struggles to score away from home: in 8 of their last 9 league matches, the club has scored a maximum of one goal. However, the team has conceded more than two goals only twice in their last 11 away Serie A matches.
I believe the Neapolitans will achieve their goal, but the match is unlikely to be high-scoring. My prediction: Napoli to win and Total under 3.5 goals
