Milan vs Lecce: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Milan
In the previous round Milan beat Como away (3:1). As a result, the team extended its unbeaten league run to 19 matches (12 wins, 7 draws). In addition, Milan scored more than one goal in a Serie A match for the first time in four games. The club sits second in the league table with 43 points. Note that the home side have scored 33 goals in the current Serie A campaign, second only to Inter (43).
- The team has not lost in its last nine home league matches (6 wins, 3 draws).
- The club failed to score more than twice in 10 of the previous 11 home Serie A meetings.
- Milan kept a clean sheet in the first half in 7 of the last 9 home league matches.
Potential Milan Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Fikayo Tomori – Davide Bartesaghi, Luka Modrić, Adrien Rabiot, Youssouf Fofana, Alexis Saelemaekers – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leão.
Forwards Niklas Füllkrug and Santiago Giménez will miss the match due to injuries. In addition, the participation of defender Strahinja Pavlović is doubtful.
Lecce
In the previous round Lecce offered a solid fight to Inter on their turf but ultimately lost (0:1). The team extended its winless run in the league to five matches (1 draw, 4 defeats). Lecce have 17 points and occupy 17th place in the league table. Note that the visitors have scored only 13 goals in the current Serie A campaign and are the lowest-scoring side.
- The club has failed to win in 7 of the last 9 away Serie A matches (2 draws, 5 defeats).
- No more than two goals were scored in 6 of the previous 7 away league matches for the team.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of Lecce’s last 10 away Serie A matches.
Potential Lecce Lineup (4-5-1)*
Vladimiro Falcone – Danilo Veiga, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Jamil Ziberte – Riccardo Sottil, Omri Gandelman, Lassana Coulibaly, Youssef Maleh, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Štulić.
Midfielder Medon Berisha and forward Francesco Camarda are injured. In addition, defenders Danilo Veiga and Kialonda Gaspar are suspended. Also note that before this round the squad was reinforced by midfielders Umar Ngom and Sadiq Fofana.
Referee
Luca Zuferli (Italy)
Matches – 9 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards (Including Second Yellows) – 24;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 2.6;
Straight Red Cards – 1;
Fouls Per Match – 26;
Penalties – 44%.
Milan vs Lecce: Match Prediction
Milan perform confidently at home, but often achieve the needed result without very flashy attacking play. The home side have won seven of the last 11 Serie A home matches, yet only once in those games scored more than two goals. In five matches during that stretch the team managed just a single goal.
Lecce cannot boast outstanding away results, but the visitors try to fight every opponent and, by playing on the counter, do not concede too many goals. In the previous 17 away league matches the club allowed opponents to score more than two goals only twice, and kept a clean sheet in five matches over that period. Moreover, Lecce conceded only one goal in the last two away games against Juventus and Inter.
We believe the hosts will not score more than two goals in this match.
Prediction: Milan Under 2.5 Goals
* The starting lineup shown for each team is from their last match in this competition.
