The first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final between Milan and Inter will take place on April 2 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Inter: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
The team confidently advanced to the semi-finals by defeating Sassuolo (6-1) and then leaving no chance for Roma (3-1). As a result, Milan has won 3 of their last 4 matches in the Coppa Italia, scoring 14 goals in this stretch. However, the club has not kept a clean sheet in any of their previous four matches in this tournament. It is worth noting that the Milanese have not won the national cup trophy since 2003.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 9 Coppa Italia matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
- Both opponents have scored in the last four matches of the team in this tournament within 90 minutes.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Milan's last 8 Coppa Italia matches in regular time.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Kyle Walker – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah – Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, Alejandro Jimenez.
Defender Emerson Royal will not play due to injury.
Inter
Simone Inzaghi's side had no serious problems in the round of 16 against Udinese at home (2-0) and then defeated Lazio with the same scoreline in the quarter-finals. As a result, Inter extended their unbeaten run in regular time in the Coppa Italia to 14 matches (7 wins, 7 draws). Notably, this is the team's fifth semi-final appearance in this tournament in the last six seasons.
- The team has won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 Coppa Italia matches.
- Players from the club have scored exactly one or two goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament within 90 minutes.
- Inter has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 Coppa Italia matches in regular time.
Predicted lineup for Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martinez – Benjamin Pavard, Yann-Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij – Federico Dimarco, Davide Frattesi, Kristjan Asllani, Piotr Zielinski, Matteo Darmian – Marko Arnautovic, Mehdi Taremi.
Defender Denzel Dumfries, midfielder Piotr Zielinski, and forward Lautaro Martinez will not play due to injuries. Midfielder Kristjan Asllani is suspended.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 15 (Serie A and Coppa Italia, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Milan vs. Inter: Match Prediction
In the last two Coppa Italia editions, Milan's players have shown their attacking prowess. In the current tournament, the team has already scored nine goals, despite playing just two matches. Although one of the opponents was Sassuolo from Serie B, Stefano Pioli's side also breached Roma's defense three times. Moreover, Milan demonstrated high scoring ability in the previous national cup, netting five times in two matches.
Inter cannot boast such high numbers and rarely scores more than two goals, but the club consistently finds the back of the net in this tournament. In the last ten Coppa Italia matches, the team has only failed to score in regular time once. Additionally, in the last three head-to-head encounters in this tournament, Inter has scored five goals against Milan.
I anticipate an active game from both teams and expect both to score. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
