The Matchday 4 Premier League clash between Manchester City and Manchester United will take place on September 14 at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs. Manchester United: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Manchester City
After a convincing 4-0 victory over Wolverhampton in the first round, it seemed the Citizens would quickly top the Premier League table. However, they suffered an unexpected home defeat to Tottenham (0-2) and then lost away to Brighton (1-2). As a result, Pep Guardiola's team finds themselves in the lower half of the table, sitting in a modest 13th place.
The club has signed goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma to replace Ederson.
- In their last 13 Premier League matches, the Citizens have suffered only 2 defeats (8 wins and 3 draws).
- No more than three goals were scored in 7 of Manchester City's last 9 league games.
- At home, the team has 5 wins in their last 6 Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-3-3)
James Trafford – Abdukodir Khusanov, John Stones, Rayan Ait-Nouri, Matheus Nunes – Tijjani Reijnders, Rodri Hernandez, Bernardo Silva – Omar Marmoush, Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland.
Due to injuries, goalkeeper Marcus Bettinelli, defenders Rayan Ait-Nouri and Josko Gvardiol, midfielder Mateo Kovacic, and forwards Rayan Cherki and Savinho will miss the match.
Manchester United
Ruben Amorim's side is one point ahead of their city rivals. In the last round, the Red Devils secured their first victory of the current season, defeating Burnley 3-2 at Old Trafford. Notably, they clinched the win in the 97th minute with a penalty. Before that, Manchester United lost at home to Arsenal (0-1) and drew away with Fulham (1-1).
- In their last 12 Premier League matches, Manchester United have secured only 2 wins (3 draws and 7 losses).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 league games.
- The team has a 6-match winless streak away from home in the Premier League (2 draws and 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Manchester United (4-3-3)
Altay Bayındır – Leny Yoro, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot – Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount – Bryan Mbeumo, Amad Diallo, Matheus Cunha.
Defender Lisandro Martinez, midfielder Mason Mount, and forward Matheus Cunha are out due to injuries.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 34 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 106;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 24%.
Manchester City vs. Manchester United: Match Prediction
Manchester derbies are often high-scoring and this one is likely to be the same. The Citizens are in a position where they can't afford to drop more points if they want to catch up with the Premier League leaders. Meanwhile, Ruben Amorim's side is also keen to return to the Champions League spots this season and will be highly motivated for the derby.
In the last 7 head-to-head league encounters, at least 3 goals were scored 6 times. Moreover, there were goals from both sides in 5 of those matches. At the Etihad, 3 or more goals were scored in 7 of the last 8 Premier League meetings, with both teams finding the net in 7 of these games.
My prediction: Total over 3 goals
