The Matchday 21 Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg will take place on february 7 at MEWA Arena. Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Mainz 05
In the previous round, the team won away at RB Leipzig (2:1), having beaten VfL Wolfsburg in the match before that. As a result, Mainz 05 have won back-to-back games in the league for the first time this season. At the same time, their run of matches conceding has reached five in a row. However, in every game during that spell, the club also found the net. Even so, the team have scored just 23 goals, with only four opponents recording a worse attacking output. In the standings, Mainz 05 stayed in 16th place, but the gap to the safe 15th spot has been cut to one point.
- Both teams scored in the team’s last five Bundesliga matches.
- At home, the club have avoided defeat in five of their last six league matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- In their last six home matches in this competition, Mainz 05 have not conceded more than one goal.
Potential Mainz 05 Lineup (3-5-2)*
Daniel Batz – Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Stefan Bell – Silvan Widmer, Danny da Costa, Lee Jae-sung, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri – Benedikt Hollerbach, Phillip Tietz.
Goalkeeper Robin Zentner, as well as defender Anton Kasi and forward Benedikt Hollerbach, will miss the match due to injuries.
Augsburg
In the last round, the team coached by Manuel Baum beat St. Pauli at home 2:1. Their unbeaten run in the league has now reached four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). It is also worth adding that in three straight games, Augsburg have scored exactly two goals. However, the club have failed to keep a clean sheet in five Bundesliga matches in a row, and they have conceded 37 in total, with only four opponents posting worse defensive numbers. In the standings, Augsburg sit in 11th place.
- The team have not conceded more than one goal in six of their last eight league games.
- Away from home, the club have lost six of their last eight Bundesliga matches (1 win, 1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Augsburg’s last 10 away games in this competition.
Potential Augsburg Lineup (3-4-3)*
Finn Dahmen – Keven Schlotterbeck, Noakai Banks, Arthur Chaves – Robin Fellhauer, Elvis Rexhbecaj, Han-Noah Massengo, Michael Gregoritsch – Fabian Rieder, Marius Wolf, Alexis Claude-Maurice.
Defenders Dimitris Giannoulis, Chrislain Matsima and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw are injured.
Referee
Patrick Ittrich (Germany)
Matches – 5 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
Average yellow cards per match – 3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 16;
Penalties – 0%.
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: Match Prediction
Mainz 05, who went into the new year bottom of the table, have made an active start to their survival push. In their last five league matches, the team have suffered just one defeat (3 wins, 1 draw). Yes, the only truly strong opponent during that stretch was RB Leipzig, but in the current situation it is crucial for the side coached by Urs Fischer to pick up points against teams around them in the standings. And at home, the club have done that fairly well. Mainz 05 have avoided defeat in five of their last six home league games, but they have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of those matches.
Augsburg have been pleasing their fans with results, going four straight Bundesliga matches without defeat. It is important to note that three games in that run were played at home. Away from home, however, the visitors have looked significantly worse. A surprise win over Bayern Munich is their only victory in their last eight away matches in this competition (1 draw, 6 defeats). And at Mainz 05’s ground, the club have lost 10 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings in the league.
Prediction: Mainz 05 double chance and over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from its previous match in this competition is listed.
