The Matchday 15 clash in the MIR Russian Premier League between Lokomotiv and Orenburg will take place on November 9 at the RZD Arena in Moscow. Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lokomotiv
The trip to Saint Petersburg handed the "Railwaymen" their first defeat of the current championship (0-2). Moreover, it ended a 19-match unbeaten run in the RPL (10 wins, 9 draws). During this stretch, the Moscow club scored in every match. However, against Zenit, Mikhail Galaktionov's men barely threatened the goal: two shots on target was the worst performance for Lokomotiv in the RPL 2025/26 season (average 5.9). The loss of points dropped the team to 5th place in the standings, and the gap from the leading Krasnodar increased to 5 points.
- The "Railwaymen" have conceded in 11 of their last 13 Premier League matches.
- At home, Lokomotiv is unbeaten in 12 league games (6 wins, 6 draws).
- In 6 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament, the Moscow team has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Lokomotiv (4-4-2)
Anton Mitryushkin – Alexander Silyanov, Lucas Fasson, Cesar Montes, Gerzino Nyamsi – Dmitry Barinov, Zelimkhan Bakaev, Artem Karpukas, Danil Prutsev – Nikolay Komlichenko, Alexander Rudenko.
Midfielder Alexey Batrakov is suspended. Forward Dmitry Vorobyov and defender Evgeny Morozov are injured.
Orenburg
The victory in the last round over Sochi (3-1) ended an 8-match winless streak for Orenburg in the Premier League (3 draws, 5 losses). Notably, the team scored more than two goals for the first time in the RPL 2025/26 season. Moreover, such scoring prowess in the Premier League has not been seen since May 2024. However, Orenburg has conceded in 13 consecutive matches in this tournament. Thanks to the three points, Ildar Akhmetzyanov's team climbed out of the relegation zone.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Orenburg's last 10 league matches.
- Away, the team has lost 5 of their last 7 RPL matches (1 win, 1 draw).
- In 7 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament, the club scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Danila Khotulev, Artem Kasimov, Henri Chichinadze, Danila Vedernikov – Dmitry Rybchinsky, Du Queiroz, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Jordi Thompson, Gedeon Guzina – Emirjan Gyurluk.
Defenders Alexey Tataev, Fahd Mufi, Emil Tsenov, and Georgy Zotov are injured.
Referee
Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
Matches – 8 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 75%.
Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
The "Railwaymen" were the last team to remain unbeaten in the championship. However, against an in-form Zenit, the Moscow team looked weak and deservedly lost. Nonetheless, in the RPL, Lokomotiv remains unbeaten at home since December 2024. Mikhail Galaktionov's men should continue this streak against Orenburg, who, despite achieving a local success, are yet to show stability under Ildar Akhmetzyanov's management. Moreover, away from home, Orenburg has not won in 8 of their last 9 Premier League matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
However, Orenburg could pose problems for the hosts. The team has scored in 8 of their last 10 league matches, and given Lokomotiv's weak defense, the visitors could expect at least one successful strike. Lokomotiv has only kept three clean sheets in the RPL 2025/26 season, with only five teams having a worse record, one of which is Orenburg. Furthermore, Orenburg has conceded in 17 consecutive away matches in this tournament.
I anticipate a high-scoring match where the hosts should secure points. My prediction: Lokomotiv will not lose and Total over 2.5 goals
