The Matchday 4 clash of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 4 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side thrashed Eintracht 5-1 away in the last round. The English team achieved a big win in the Champions League for the first time in almost a year. However, it was only the second time in their last five matches in this tournament that Liverpool scored more than one goal. Meanwhile, the team has been conceding goals in seven consecutive Champions League games. In the standings, Liverpool holds 10th place with 6 points.
- The British side has not drawn in 24 consecutive Champions League matches (17 wins, 7 losses).
- The club has scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home games in the Champions League.
- At home, the English team has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted Lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson – Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai – Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo.
Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, midfielder Curtis Jones, forward Alexander Isak, and defender Jeremie Frimpong are out due to injuries.
Real Madrid
The Spanish side remains unbeaten. Their victory over Juventus (1-0) in the last round marked their third consecutive win in the Champions League. After a 7-match streak of conceding goals in this tournament, Real Madrid has kept clean sheets in two consecutive games. Thus, in this season's Champions League, Xabi Alonso's side trails only Arsenal and Inter in terms of clean sheets. In the overall standings, Real Madrid is in 5th place.
- The team has scored at least one goal in 10 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
- The Spanish side has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 Champions League matches.
Predicted Lineup for Real Madrid (4-5-1)
Thibaut Courtois – Alvaro Carreras, Raul Asensio, Eder Militao, Federico Valverde – Vinicius Junior, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappe.
Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, and Daniel Carvajal are injured.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 32;
Penalties – 20%.
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
The opponents have a rich history of encounters in the Champions League. The last one was in the previous edition of the tournament, ending with a 2-0 victory for the British side. Thus, Liverpool ended an 8-match winless streak against Madrid (1 draw, 7 losses). At that time, the English team was in excellent form and nearly flawless in the group stage. However, Arne Slot's side is currently delivering results that are hard to justify given the team's level: Liverpool has lost 6 of their last 8 official matches.
The Spanish team, unlike their opponent, is consistent. In this Champions League campaign, they have yet to drop points, and overall this season, Xabi Alonso's side has won 13 of 14 official matches (1 loss). Moreover, Real Madrid has not lost in 11 of their last 15 away Champions League matches.
After Matchday 3, bookmakers clearly favored Liverpool, but the British side's results have almost cost them their status as favorites. The Spanish side should capitalize on their opponent's poor form and secure points. My prediction: Real Madrid to win or draw
