The FA Cup fifth-round tie between Leeds United and Norwich City will take place on 8 March at the Elland Road Stadium. Leeds United vs Norwich City: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leeds United
So far, the club have been fortunate with the draw, and even in their third round they will not have to face Premier League opposition. The team first saw off Derby County (3:1), and then edged past Birmingham City with difficulty (1:1, aet 1:1, pens 4:2). Last season, Leeds United reached the round of 32, where they lost 0:2 to Millwall, and prior to that they had made it to the FA Cup fifth round in two consecutive campaigns. Their best run of this century came in 2003, when they reached the last eight.
- The club avoided defeat in normal time in 6 of their last 8 matches in this tournament (3 wins and 3 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Leeds United’s last 7 FA Cup matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the team’s last 7 games in this tournament.
Potential Leeds United Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Lucas Perri – Sebastian Bornauw, James Justin, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jaka Bijol – Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Ao Tanaka – Wilfried Gnonto, Facundo Buonanotte, Noah Okafor – Lukas Nmecha.
Norwich City
The team played both ties at home and dealt confidently with their opponents. First, they thrashed Walsall from League Two (5:1), and then overcame Championship side West Bromwich Albion (3:1). Interestingly, over the past 15 years the club have not won three consecutive FA Cup matches even once. In 2020, Norwich City reached the quarter-finals of the tournament, which remains their best achievement of this century. Last season, they went out in the round of 64, losing 0:4 to Brighton.
- At least 4 goals were scored in the club’s last five FA Cup matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Norwich City’s last 6 games in this tournament.
- The team conceded no more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the FA Cup.
Potential Norwich City Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Daniel Grimshaw – Harry Darling, Ryan McConville, Jack Stacey, Jacob Wright – Sam Field, Kellen Fisher – Parris Maghoma, Aness Ahmed, Oscar Schwartau – Mile Kvistgaarden.
Referee
Darren England (England)
Matches officiated – 21 (the Premier League and English cups, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 82;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 22;
Penalties – 19%.
Leeds United vs Norwich City: Match Prediction
Norwich City are unlikely to be able to challenge for the play-off places in this Championship campaign. The team sit down in 17th, but have won 5 of their last 6 league matches and have pulled clear of the relegation zone. The club are in excellent form, and in their previous nine league fixtures they have not lost a single time by a margin of two or more goals. What is more, Norwich City have lost by more than one goal only twice in their last 21 FA Cup matches.
We assume that in the upcoming game the visitors will at least avoid defeat in normal time, or else lose by the narrowest of margins. Besides, Leeds United rarely deliver convincing wins – in their last 14 competitive matches they have recorded only two such victories. And in the FA Cup itself, the club have won by a margin of two or more goals only once in their last seven matches. Norwich City have also avoided losing by more than one goal in 7 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
Prediction: Norwich City (+1.5)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their last match in this tournament.
