Premier League
Regular Season (28)
Leeds United
28 February
18:30
(WAT)
Manchester City
1
5.63
X
4.57
2
1.61
U 2.5
2.38
O 2.5
1.68

Leeds United vs Manchester City: prediction & betting odds 28 February 2026

The Premier League Matchday 28 fixture between Leeds United and Manchester City will take place on 28 February at the Elland Road stadium. Leeds United vs Manchester City: prediction, betting odds and statistics.

Leeds United

Leeds United have spent the last two league rounds up against strong opponents fighting for Champions League qualification, but still managed to pick up points—both away from home. They first shared the spoils with Chelsea (2:2), before drawing with Aston Villa (1:1). It is worth noting that in their last six Premier League matches the club have suffered just one defeat, and even that was against Arsenal (2 wins and 3 draws). Leeds United have noticeably improved their position in the standings and, while they remain down in 15th place, they are now six points clear of the relegation zone.

  • The team have avoided defeat in 12 of their last 14 Premier League matches (4 wins and 8 draws).
  • Both teams have scored in 14 of Leeds United’s last 17 league games.
  • The club have not lost 6 of their last 7 home Premier League matches (4 wins and 2 draws).

Potential Leeds United Lineup (3-4-2-1)*

Karl Darlow – Joe Rodon, James Justin, Pascal Struijk – Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson – Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Forward Noah Okafor is out injured.

Manchester City

Manchester City have played their last two Premier League matches at home and beat Fulham (3:0) and Newcastle (2:1) in succession. Before that, they also earned an away win at Liverpool (2:1). This season, the team are already on their third winning run in the league, in which they have won at least three matches in a row. The club remain second in the table, but the gap to leaders Arsenal is gradually shrinking—five points, with a game in hand as well. Alongside Arsenal, Manchester City also boast the best attack in the Premier League, with 56 goals scored apiece.

  • In their last 15 Premier League matches, Manchester City have suffered only one defeat (10 wins and 4 draws).
  • At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Manchester City’s last 8 league games.
  • The club are unbeaten in the first half in 18 straight Premier League matches (13 wins and 5 draws).

Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3)*

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Rayan Ait-Nouri, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi – Rodri, Nico O’Reilly, Bernardo Silva – Omar Marmoush, Antoine Semenyo, Erling Haaland.

Defender Josko Gvardiol and midfielder Mateo Kovacic are unavailable through injury. Forward Jeremy Doku is a doubt (recovering from an injury).

Referee

Peter Bankes (England)

Matches officiated – 19 (Premier League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 75;

Average yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 32%.

Leeds United vs Manchester City: Match Prediction

Both sides are in excellent form, although Manchester City win far more often and are also much higher up the table. Even so, Leeds United are dangerous for any opponent right now and have already produced several surprises by taking points off a number of Premier League heavyweights. The club have clearly improved in efficiency and in converting the chances they create, which has maximised their chances of staying in the Premier League. Daniel Farke’s men have been scoring noticeably more often, and they are doing it not only at home but also on the road.

Leeds United have found the net in 15 of their last 17 Premier League matches. At the same time, the club concede plenty and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 22 of their last 24 league games. Of course, Manchester City will not be short of goals either—they have scored in 16 of their last 18 Premier League matches. However, the team concede a fair amount as well, having done so in 6 of their last 8 games in the competition. Both teams have also scored in the last three Premier League head-to-head meetings.

Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes

* For each team, the starting line-up listed is from their most recent match in this competition.

Leeds United vs Manchester City Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
Bookie1X2

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

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21.02.26
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L
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Leeds United
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20.09.25
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13.09.25
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H2H: Leeds United — Manchester City

Premier League 2025/26
29.11.25
Manchester City
Leeds United
Premier League 2022-2023
06.05.23
Manchester City
Leeds United
28.12.22
Leeds United
Manchester City
Premier League 2021-2022
30.04.22
Leeds United
Manchester City
14.12.21
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Leeds United
Premier League 2020-2021
10.04.21
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Leeds United
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Manchester City

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off

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