The match of the 19th round of the Serie A between Lazio and Fiorentina will take place on 7 january at Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio vs Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lazio
Lazio lost at home to Napoli 0:2 in the last round. Thus, the home side ended a four-match unbeaten run in the league (1 win, 3 draws). In addition, the club failed to score for the ninth time in the current Serie A campaign. The hosts have 24 points and sit ninth in the table.
- The team has not lost in 6 of its last 7 home Serie A matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in six of the club’s previous home league games.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 8 of the last 10 home matches for the hosts in Serie A.
Potential Lazio Lineup (4-5-1)*
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marušić, Luca Pellegrini, Alessio Romagnoli, Mario Hila – Matteo Cancellieri, Danilo Cataldi, Matteo Guendouzi, Toma Bašić, Mattia Zaccagni – Teyani Noslin.
Defender Samuel Gigot will miss the game due to injury, while defender Adam Marušić and forward Teyani Noslin are suspended. In addition, midfielder Fisayo Dele-Bashiru and forward Boulaye Dia have gone to the Africa Cup of Nations. Also note the sale of forward Valentin Castellanos to West Ham.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina snatched a stoppage-time win over Cremonese at home (1:0) in the last round. As a result, the visiting team collected as many points in the last three Serie A matches (6) as in the previous 15 rounds. In addition, the side kept a clean sheet for the first time in 13 league matches. The club moved up to second-to-last place in the standings with 12 points.
- The team has not won in nine away Serie A matches (4 draws, 5 defeats).
- The club conceded at least two goals in 5 of the previous 6 away league fixtures.
- Fiorentina scored a maximum of one goal in 8 of their last 9 away matches in Serie A.
Potential Fiorentina Lineup (3-5-2)*
David De Gea – Luca Ranieri, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongračic – Dodô, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Sher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi – Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and midfielder Jacopo Fazzini will miss the game due to injuries. Note that forward Manor Solomon joined the club in the current transfer window.
Referee
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 8 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/red Cards Shown (including seconds) – 27;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.4;
Red Cards Shown – 4;
Fouls Average Per Match – 25;
Penalties – 38%.
Lazio vs Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Recent home matches have highlighted the hosts’ creativity issues: in the last three Serie A home games the home side scored just one goal in total. Moreover, during that stretch Lazio could not find the net even against a newly promoted side like Cremonese. At the same time, the hosts remain solid defensively: in their last 11 home league matches the home side only twice conceded more than one goal, and kept five clean sheets.
Fiorentina’s difficult season is accompanied by problems in all areas of play, and the visitors struggle to be effective in attack on the road. In nine away fixtures in the current Serie A campaign the club managed to score more than once only once — in the game against Genoa. It is also worth noting that in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head league meetings at Stadio Olimpico these opponents combined to score no more than two goals.
We do not expect a high-scoring match, so our forecast:
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is shown from its previous match in this competition.
