The second-stage quarter-final match in the Regions Path of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 between Krylia Sovetov Samara and Orenburg will take place on 4 March at the Solidarnost Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov Samara vs Orenburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Krylia Sovetov Samara
The Samara side came through the previous round, but not without difficulty. Regular time against KAMAZ ended level (1:1), and only in the penalty shootout did the Magomed Adiev-led team manage to come out on top. It is worth noting that Krylia Sovetov Samara have not recorded a win in 90 minutes in six straight Russian Cup matches (4 draws, 2 defeats). At the same time, for the first time in their previous four games in this competition, the club conceded fewer than two goals. What is more, the team have kept a clean sheet in just one of their last 25 matches in the national cup.
- Both teams to score has landed in 9 of the last 11 Russian Cup matches involving the Samara side.
- At home in this tournament, the club have not won in regular time in 10 consecutive matches (4 draws, 6 defeats).
- The team have conceded at least twice in 6 of their previous 7 matches in the national cup.
Potential Krylia Sovetov Samara Lineup (5-4-1)*
Sergey Pesyakov – Dominik Oroz, Sergey Bozhin, Tomas Galdames, Gonzalo Requena, Dani Fernandes – Amir Rakhmanovich, Sergey Babkin, Mykhaylo Baniats, Fernando Costanza – Chinedu Jeffrey.
The injury list includes forwards Vadim Rakov, Jimmy Marin and Aleksey Sutormin, as well as defender Nikolay Rasskazov.
Orenburg
The Orenburg side dropped into the lower bracket of the tournament after their tie against Krasnodar, which the players will surely want to forget as quickly as possible. A home defeat (1:3) was followed by a heavy 0:4 loss away from home. Overall, the club have now lost three straight matches in the Russian Cup. It is also hard to ignore their defensive issues: Orenburg have conceded in 6 of their previous 8 games in the national cup, and in four matches during that run they shipped at least three goals.
- The team have not scored more than one goal in each of their last five Russian Cup matches.
- On the road in this tournament, the Orenburg side have lost 6 of their last 7 matches (1 win).
- In 6 of Orenburg’s previous 8 away matches in the national cup, at least one of the sides failed to score.
Potential Orenburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Fahd Moufi, Emil Tsenov, John Palacios, Danila Vedernikov – Ruslan Kul, Damian Puebla, Tigran Avanesyan, Jordi Thompson, Emircan Guruluk – Maksim Savelyev.
Referee
Sergey Cheban (Russia)
Matches – 6 (Russian Cup, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 50%.
Krylia Sovetov Samara vs Orenburg: Match Prediction
The two sides have had very different moods since the Russian Premier League resumed. The Orenburg side beat Akron 2:0, while the Samara side suffered a heavy defeat to Dynamo Moscow (0:4). It appears Ildar Akhmetzyanov has done good work during the training camp. As for Krylia Sovetov Samara, their problems have not gone away. The team are second from bottom for goals conceded in the Premier League, and in the national cup they have shipped at least two goals in 6 of their previous 7 home matches.
The Orenburg side will be motivated to make amends in the eyes of their fans after the outcome of the tie against Krasnodar. Against Akron, the team looked proactive in attack, and if Ildar Akhmetzyanov’s side bring the same attitude to this cup match, the unreliable Samara defence will not hold out. Moreover, Orenburg have already scored against Zenit and Krasnodar in this Russian Cup campaign, and those sides’ defensive actions are far better than those of their upcoming opponents.
Prediction: Orenburg, over 1 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match is listed.
