Matchday 6 of the Russian Cup group stage between Krylya Sovetov and Fakel will take place on November 27 at Solidarity Arena in Samara. Kick-off is at 16:00 (Moscow time). Krylya Sovetov vs. Fakel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Ivan Sidenkov (Russia)
Matches – 6 (Russian Cup, 2018/19–2022/23);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 31;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Krylya Sovetov vs. Fakel
Krylya Sovetov (4-4-2): Ivan Lomaev – Alexander Soldatenkov, Glenn Bale, Roman Evgeniev, Fernando Costanza – Sergey Pinyaev, Alexander Kovalenko, Denis Yakuba, Roman Yezhov – Maxim Glushenkov, Dmitry Tsypchenko.
Fakel (3-5-2): Alexey Gorodovoy – Sergey Bozhin, Evgeny Morozov, Igor Kalinin – Daniil Chernyakov, Ruslan Magal, Roman Akbashev, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Vladislav Masternoy – Khizir Appaev, Matvey Ivakhnov.
Each team’s lineup reflects their starting XI from their last match in this tournament.
Krylya Sovetov
The Samara team ended Spartak's eight-match winning streak in the Russian Cup in the last round with a 2-1 victory. Krylya Sovetov is in second place in Group B, ahead of the third-placed St. Petersburg team on tiebreakers. Samara has secured a spot in the next round of the national cup. However, their final position in the group and their future in the Russian Cup will depend on the results of the last round.
Krylya Sovetov has been inconsistent in the national cup, with 4 wins and 4 losses in their last 8 matches. The team has been scoring regularly in this edition of the Russian Cup, finding the net in 4 of the 5 rounds played. In their previous Russian Cup encounter, Samara defeated Fakel 1-0.
Fakel
Fakel lost 2-0 to Zenit in the 5th round of the national cup. Fakel has not earned any points in the 5 rounds of the Russian Cup and sits at the bottom of Group B. The team has no tournament motivation for the upcoming match. Notably, Fakel has the worst scoring record in the group stage of the RPL Path, with only one goal scored in 5 matches.
Fakel is on a 12-match winless streak in the RPL and Russian Cup (6 draws, 6 losses). The team struggles defensively, conceding more than one goal in 4 of their last matches in the league and national cup. Fakel has already visited Krylya Sovetov this season in the Premier League, where they managed to secure a 1-1 draw at Solidarity Arena.
Krylya Sovetov vs. Fakel: Match Prediction
I believe Samara will win in regular time in the upcoming match. The team needs to qualify for the playoffs of the RPL Path, where, in case of defeat, Krylya Sovetov can continue their trophy pursuit in the Russian Cup's lower bracket. Fakel has lost their chance to advance from the group, so their lineup might be highly experimental for this match. Low-scoring games have been prevalent at Krylya Sovetov's home ground this season, so I do not expect many goals in the upcoming match.
My prediction: Home win + Total under 3.5 goals