The Matchday 17 clash in the Russian Premier League between Krasnodar and Krylia Sovetov will take place on November 30 at the Ozon Arena. Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Krasnodar
Murad Musaev's side ended their last two league matches in 1-1 draws against Baltika and Lokomotiv. This saw Krasnodar drop points after a four-match winning streak, marking only the second time in the 2025/26 RPL season that the club has conceded in three consecutive games. Nevertheless, Krasnodar ranks second only to Baltika in defensive reliability. Notably, the team recorded their best shooting accuracy of the season with 10 shots on target against Lokomotiv (averaging 4.7). In the standings, Krasnodar remains at the top, one point ahead of their nearest rival.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Krasnodar's last 8 Premier League matches.
- Murad Musaev's team has won 6 of their last 7 home league matches (1 loss).
- In 13 of their last 15 home games in this tournament, the team has conceded no more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Krasnodar (4-5-1)
Stanislav Agkatsev – Jubal, Vitor Tormena, Diego Costa, Lucas Olaza – Eduard Spertsyan, Joao Bachi, Douglas Augusto, Nikita Krivtsov, Viktor Sa – Jhon Cordoba.
Forward Moses Kobnan and defender Sergey Petrov are injured. Midfielder Alexander Chernikov is suspended.
Krylia Sovetov
The Samara team ended a seven-match winless streak in the league (2 draws, 5 losses) with a victory over Rostov (2-0) in the last round. This was only the third clean sheet for the team in the 2025/26 RPL season, with only three teams having fewer. Notably, for the first time this season, Krylia Sovetov did not win a single corner (averaging 3.2). In the main standings, Magomed Adiev's side climbed to 11th place, increasing their lead over the relegation zone to 9 points.
- The club has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 Premier League matches.
- On the road, the Samara team has lost 5 of their last 6 matches in this tournament (1 draw).
- In 6 of their last 8 away games in the RPL, the team has conceded first.
Predicted lineup for Krylia Sovetov (5-4-1)
Sergey Pesyakov – Nikita Chernov, Sergey Bozhin, Nikolay Rasskazov, Roman Evgeniev, Kirill Pechenin – Fernando Costanza, Ilzat Akhmetov, Mihailo Banyats, Jimmy Marin – Vladimir Ignatenko.
Forwards Alexey Sutormin, Ivan Oleynikov, Vadim Rakov, defenders Thomas Galdames, Dominik Oroz, and midfielders Dmitry Ivanisenya, Sergey Babkin are injured. The Croatian would also miss the match due to suspension.
Referee
Sergey Karasev (Russia)
Matches – 9 (RPL, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 33%.
Krasnodar vs. Krylia Sovetov: Match Prediction
The opponents will meet for the fourth time this season. The last two games held in Samara were won by Murad Musaev's side, while the cup match in Krasnodar saw the Samara team come out on top. However, it's worth noting that Krasnodar rotated their squad in the second most important Russian tournament, but will field their strongest side in the RPL. Therefore, it will be tough for Krylia Sovetov to hope for points again. Especially since Krasnodar has won 11 of their last 13 home matches in the Premier League (2 losses).
Moreover, Magomed Adiev's side has lost 5 of their last 6 away league matches (1 draw). During this period, the club has only managed to score more than one goal once, and in the last three matches, they haven't scored at all. With such attacking stats against one of the tournament's best defenses, expecting much is unrealistic. However, the Samara team has also rarely faltered in defense recently, having last conceded more than two goals at the end of September.
My prediction: Krasnodar to win and Total under 3.5 goals
