The first Conference League 2025/26 playoff match between Jagiellonia Bialystok (Poland) and ACF Fiorentina (Italy) will take place on 19 February at the City Stadium in Bialystok. Jagiellonia Bialystok vs ACF Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok enjoyed a decent league-phase campaign, suffering just one defeat — against La Liga representatives Rayo Vallecano (1:2). In the other five matches, the club recorded two wins and three draws. As a result, the team finished 17th on nine points. It is also worth noting that matches involving Jagiellonia Bialystok were among the lowest-scoring in the Conference League league phase — an average of 1.5 goals were scored per game. Interestingly, last season the club also featured in the playoffs and eventually reached the quarter-finals.
- Jagiellonia Bialystok have avoided defeat in 12 of their last 13 matches in this European competition (6 wins and 6 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of Jagiellonia Bialystok's last 7 Conference League matches.
- The club have not scored more than once in their last seven matches in this tournament.
Potential Jagiellonia Bialystok Lineup (4-4-2)*
Slawomir Abramowicz – Bartlomiej Wdowik, Bernardo Vital, Dusan Stojinovic, Norbert Wojtuszek – Alejandro Pozo, Leon Flach, Oskar Pietuszewski, Taras Romanczuk – Afimico Pululu, Jesus Imaz.
Due to suspensions, midfielder Taras Romanczuk and forward Afimico Pululu will miss the game.
ACF Fiorentina
ACF Fiorentina had a chance to break into the top eight and avoid the playoffs, but in the final round they lost away to Lausanne 0:1. As a result, the club finished only 15th. It is also worth noting that the Italians lost three of their last four league-phase matches, beating only Dynamo Kyiv, who did not finish in the top 24. This is ACF Fiorentina's fourth appearance in the Conference League — they have reached the final twice, and last season they made it to the semi-finals.
- ACF Fiorentina have been involved in 10 straight Conference League matches without a draw (6 wins and 4 defeats).
- At least three goals have been scored in 11 of ACF Fiorentina's previous 14 matches in the Conference League.
- Both teams to score has landed in 8 of the Florentines' last 11 away matches in this European competition.
Potential ACF Fiorentina Lineup (4-4-2)*
Tommaso Martinelli – Mattia Viti, Marin Pongracic, Eddi Kouadio, Pablo Mari – Christian Kouame, Amir Richardson, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Simon Sohm – Roberto Piccoli, Edin Dzeko
Referee
Sebastian Gishamer (Austria)
Matches – 5 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 14;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 20%.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs ACF Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Both teams have become regulars in the Conference League. They have been unable to make a real impression in the Champions League or the Europa League, but in Europe's third-tier competition they look far more at home. The Florentines are particularly strong in this tournament, but they tend to get results mainly through wins on their own ground. Away from home, however, the club often disappoints — in ACF Fiorentina's previous 14 away Conference League matches, they have recorded just four victories (five draws and five defeats).
The current form of Jagiellonia Bialystok in this competition, though, deserves plenty of respect. After all, they have lost only once in their last 13 matches. In fact, before that defeat to Rayo Vallecano, Jagiellonia Bialystok had gone 11 straight home Conference League matches without losing, claiming eight wins and three draws. Moreover, in the Polish club's last 12 home matches in the Conference League, they have conceded more than two goals only twice. We believe the hosts will at least avoid defeat in the first leg.
Prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok, double chance
* For each team, the starting lineup listed is from their previous match in this tournament.
