The Matchday 32 clash in the Bundesliga between Freiburg and Bayer will take place on May 4 at the Europa-Park Stadium. Freiburg vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Freiburg
After defeating Wolfsburg 1-0 away in the last round, Julian Schuster's team secured their third consecutive victory in the league. Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet for the first time in six Bundesliga matches. Overall, Freiburg has achieved 11 clean sheets this season, with only Leipzig (13) and Bayern Munich (14) having more. However, the club has conceded 47 goals, the most among the top five teams, where Schuster's men currently sit in fourth place.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 Bundesliga games.
- The team has not lost in 9 of their last 12 home league matches (7 wins, 2 draws).
- In 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament, the club has not scored more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-4-2)
Florian Müller – Philipp Lienhart, Maximilian Rosenfelder, Jordi Makengo, Matthias Ginter – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Lucas Höler, Chikwubuike Adamu.
Goalkeeper Noah Atubolu is injured.
Bayer
In the previous round, Leverkusen defeated Augsburg 2-0 at home, extending their unbeaten run in the league to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Notably, in 3 of their last 4 Bundesliga games, Xabi Alonso's team kept a clean sheet. In the league standings, Bayer remains the closest challenger to leaders Bayern Munich, but dropping points in the upcoming match will eliminate their chances of defending the title.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Bayer's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- The team is unbeaten in 32 consecutive away league matches (23 wins, 9 draws).
- In 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament, Bayer has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (4-5-1)
Matej Kovar – Arthur, Jonathan Tah, Alejandro Grimaldo, Edmond Tapsoba – Nathan Tella, Granit Xhaka, Florian Wirtz, Robert Andrich, Exequiel Palacios – Patrik Schick.
Defender Mario Hermoso is injured.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 15 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 72;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 27%.
Freiburg vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
Both teams are pursuing their respective goals, so there is no advantage in motivation for either side. Leverkusen has long secured a Champions League spot, but they still have a theoretical chance to fight for the championship. Freiburg, on the other hand, is competing for a place in the most prestigious European club competition.
Xabi Alonso's side remains unbeaten away in the Bundesliga 2024/25. Moreover, Leverkusen's last away defeat in the league was nearly two years ago. After a five-match winless streak, Freiburg has claimed three consecutive victories. However, they were fortunate with their opponents: Wolfsburg, who are finishing the season, Hoffenheim, who are fighting for survival, and a struggling Borussia Mönchengladbach. Nevertheless, Schuster's team has not lost in 11 of their 15 home games in this tournament (9 wins, 2 draws).
Leverkusen are the favorites in this match, but they could still drop points. This season, Xabi Alonso's team lacks a solid buffer. My prediction: Bayer with a handicap (0)
