The Matchday 5 fixture of the 2025/26 Conference League group stage between Fiorentina (Italy) and Dynamo Kyiv (Ukraine) will take place on December 11 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
In the previous round, Paolo Vanoli's side were surprisingly beaten 0-1 at home by AEK Athens. The defeat marked Fiorentina's second consecutive loss in the Conference League. It was also the first time in their last 20 matches in this competition that the Italians failed to score in normal time. With six points, Fiorentina have slipped down the overall stage table.
- The club is unbeaten in 16 of their last 17 home matches in the Conference League (11 wins, 5 draws).
- They scored at least twice in 10 of their 11 previous home fixtures in this competition.
- Fiorentina conceded in 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted Fiorentina lineup (3-5-2)*
David de Gea – Luka Ranieri, Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo – Fabiano Parisi, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Sher Ndour, Niccolò Furtini – Albert Guðmundsson, Edin Džeko.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tarik Lamptey, plus midfielder Jacopo Fazzini, will miss the game through injury.
Dynamo Kyiv
The Ukrainians suffered their third defeat in the overall stage after losing 0-2 away to Omonia in the last round. Across eight Conference League matches this season, Dynamo have now lost six times. Additionally, in 4 of their last 5 fixtures in this competition the team failed to score. With three points, Dynamo sit 27th in the overall stage standings.
- The club have lost 5 of their last 6 matches in the Conference League.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in five of the team's previous fixtures in this competition.
- No more than one goal was scored in the second half in 6 of Dynamo's last 8 Conference League matches.
Predicted Dynamo Kyiv lineup (4-5-1)*
Ruslan Neshcheret – Oleksandr Karavaev, Denys Popov, Taras Mykhavko, Aliu Tiaree – Oleksandr Pikhaliok, Valentyn Rubchynskyi, Nazar Voloshyn, Mykola Mykhailenko, Vladyslav Kabaev – Shola Ogunshona.
Defender Khrystian Bilovar, midfielder Volodymyr Brazhko and forward Andriy Yarmolenko will miss the match through injury. Note that prior to this round the club dismissed Oleksandr Shovkovskyi as head coach; Igor Kostyuk is currently acting as caretaker.
Referee
Miloš Milanović (Serbia)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 48;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Match prediction: Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
I do not expect Dynamo to have many opportunities in this encounter. In the overall stage they have already lost to relatively low-rated opponents such as Omonia and Samsunspor, and recently the club lost four consecutive matches for the first time in its history. Defensively, Dynamo have struggled: across eight Conference League appearances they have kept just one clean sheet and conceded a total of 13 goals.
Fiorentina should not have major problems at home. The Italians have been solid at the Artemio Franchi — over their last nine home Conference League fixtures they have won seven, scoring 24 goals in that period. That said, they have not always been watertight at the back: Fiorentina conceded in 5 of their last 6 home matches in this competition.
I expect the hosts to take the win and for the game to be entertaining, so my prediction: Fiorentina to win and over 2.5 goals
* The starting XI for each team reflects their last match in this tournament.
