The Round of 16 match in the French Cup between Le Mans and PSG will take place on February 4 at the MMArena. Le Mans vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Le Mans
Patrick Vidéira's team advanced through the first three rounds of the national cup with victories in regular time, but in the Round of 32, they had a tough match against Valenciennes (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3). Notably, Le Mans has not lost after 90 minutes in six consecutive matches in this tournament (3 wins, 3 draws). However, the club has no significant achievements in the French Cup: the last time they reached the Round of 16 was in the 2008/09 season, losing 0-1 to Guingamp.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Le Mans' last 7 games in the national cup.
- The team has scored in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
- In 4 of their last 5 home games in the French Cup, the club has not conceded more than two goals.
Projected lineup for Le Mans (5-3-2)
Evan Hatfout – Alexandre Lore, Théo Moën, Harold Voye, Vincent Bourlet, Zakari Lamghazez – Martin Rossignol, Anthony Ribelin, Gabin Bernardo – Dame Gueye, Arnold Vula.
PSG
The reigning champion and the most titled team in this tournament have advanced through two stages in the current edition. Luis Enrique's side first defeated Lens (1-1, extra time 0-0, penalties 4-3), and in the last round, they overcame Espaly Saint-Marcel (4-2). Notably, before winning the 2023/24 French Cup, PSG failed to advance past the Round of 16 for two consecutive years. Additionally, PSG's goal-scoring streak in the national cup stands at 11 matches.
- The team won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament (1 draw).
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of the club's last 8 French Cup matches.
- In 7 of their last 9 away games in the national cup, PSG scored at least 3 goals.
Projected lineup for PSG (3-4-3)
Arnau Tenas – João Neves, Lucas Hernandez, Yoram Zague – Fabián Ruiz, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Senny Mayulu, Axel Tappe-Kobrissa – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Désiré Doué.
Referee
Abdelatif Kerrachi (France)
Matches – 6 (French Cup, 2021/22–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Le Mans vs. PSG: Match Prediction
There is little doubt about the outcome of the upcoming match. Even with a second-string lineup, which Luis Enrique is likely to field, PSG should comfortably secure a spot in the quarter-finals. The intrigue, in my opinion, will be whether Le Mans can score a goal. Considering PSG's defensive record, the hosts have a decent chance.
Luis Enrique's side has conceded in 6 of their last 7 French Cup matches. In the previous round, PSG's goal was breached twice by a National League representative, and in away games in the national cup, PSG has only two clean sheets in their last seven matches.
Le Mans has a 7-match goal-scoring streak in the French Cup. Additionally, they scored against PSG in their last head-to-head encounter in this tournament. I predict that we will see at least one goal from the hosts again. My prediction: Le Mans Individual Total Over 0.5