The Matchday 5 clash of the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 Path of Regions between Fakel and Ural will take place on October 16 at the Fakel Stadium in Voronezh. Fakel vs. Ural: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fakel
In their last round, the team from Voronezh won against Tekstilshchik away (1:1, 3:1 on penalties). However, in regular time, they have won only one of their last 11 Russian Cup matches (3 draws, 7 losses). Moreover, Fakel failed to score in seven of these encounters. The club has also conceded in 8 of their last 9 games in this tournament.
- No more than two goals were scored in Fakel's last 5 matches in the national Cup.
- At home in this tournament, the team has been unable to win in 90 minutes over 10 matches (1 draw, 9 losses).
- Fakel has conceded at least one goal in their last 15 home games in the Russian Cup.
Predicted lineup for Fakel (4-3-3)
Daniil Frolkin – Stanislav Magkeev, Albert Gabaraev, Kirill Simonov, Shota Chikhradze – Nikita Motspan, Nuri Abdokov, Anton Kovalev – Luka Bagatelia, Maxim Turishchev, Georgy Gongadze.
Ural
The team from Yekaterinburg defeated PSK away in the previous round (2:1). This victory was their fifth in the last seven Russian Cup matches (1 draw, 1 loss in regular time). Notably, Ural failed to score in only one of their last 11 matches in this tournament. However, the team has not shown high scoring prowess, netting more than once in just three games during this period.
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 Russian Cup matches.
- Away in this tournament, Yekaterinburg has not lost in 90 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw).
- Ural has scored in 14 of their last 15 away games in the national Cup.
Predicted lineup for Ural (3-5-2)
Mikhail Oparin – Italo Assis, Artem Mamin, Yevgeny Kharin – Nikita Morozov, Ilya Ishkov, Yuri Zheleznov, Vitaly Bondarev, Fanil Sungatulin – Yevgeny Markov, Vladislav Karapuzov.
Defender Silvije Begic will miss the match due to family reasons.
Referee
Nikita Novikov (Russia)
Matches – 16 (Second League and Russian Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 31%.
Fakel vs. Ural: Match Prediction
The opponents met about two months ago in the First League, with Yekaterinburg winning 2-0. Predicting the outcome of the upcoming match is challenging, but I expect few goals once again. Fakel has shown modest attacking form this season, but their defense has been impressive.
At home in the FNL 2025/26, the team from Voronezh has conceded only one goal in 6 matches. However, they also score an average of just 1 goal. Fakel has issues with converting chances in the national Cup, having not scored more than once in 20 consecutive matches in this tournament.
After playing Voronezh, Miroslav Romashchenko's side managed to score more than one goal in the First League in only one of their last 6 matches. In this situation, expecting a high-scoring performance from Ural on the field of the resilient Voronezh side seems unlikely. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
