Matchday 7 of the Euro 2024 qualifying tournament between Estonia and Azerbaijan in Group F will take place on October 13 at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Kick-off is at 19:00 (Moscow time). Estonia vs. Azerbaijan: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2024 qualification match statistics.
Referee: Robert Schröder (Germany)
Matches – 6 (International matches and Bundesliga, 2023/24);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Estonia vs. Azerbaijan
Estonia (3-5-2): Karl Hein – Märten Kuusk, Ken Kallaste, Maksim Paskotsi – Vlasi Sinjavski, Mattias Käit, Martin Miller, Henrik Ojamaa, Markus Poom – Konstantin Vassiljev, Henri Anier.
Azerbaijan (5-3-2): Shakhroodin Magomedaliyev – Hojjat Hagverdi, Rahil Mammadov, Anton Krivotsyuk, Toral Bayramov, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Aleksey Isaev, Joshgun Diniyev, Emin Mahmudov – Ramil Sheydaev, Renat Dadashov.
Estonia
Estonia lost both of their September qualifiers by the same scoreline, 0-5, against Sweden and Belgium. The team is at the bottom of Group F with just one point. They trail their upcoming opponent only on tiebreakers. Notably, Estonia has the worst goal difference in Group F (2:16).
- Estonia's winless streak in European Championship qualifying is 16 matches (2 draws, 14 losses).
- The team has conceded at least 2 goals in 11 of their last 13 qualifiers.
- At home, Estonia has lost 7 consecutive European Championship qualifiers, including the last 4 with a combined scoreline of 0-15.
Azerbaijan
In September, Azerbaijan played one qualifying match, losing 0-1 to Belgium, and missed Matchday 6, playing a friendly against Jordan (2-1). The team has just one point from a draw against Estonia in the first round. Interestingly, Azerbaijan has also scored only 2 goals in this qualifying campaign but has conceded 5 fewer goals than their upcoming opponent.
- Azerbaijan has not won in 17 consecutive European Championship qualifiers (5 draws, 12 losses).
- The team failed to score in 5 of their last 7 Euro qualifiers.
- Azerbaijan has never won an away match in European Championship qualifying history (4 draws, 32 losses).
Estonia vs. Azerbaijan: Match Prediction
This upcoming match holds only local significance as both teams will fight to avoid finishing last in the group. However, this motivation is enough to strive for a win, so don't expect a friendly match atmosphere. Both teams are on long winless streaks in European Championship qualifiers and will be eager to break these runs.
Bookmakers favor the hosts, but I believe the visitors have at least an equal chance of success. Azerbaijan narrowly lost to Belgium in their last qualifier, whereas Estonia was soundly defeated by Belgium 0-5 in Matchday 6. Another point in favor of the visitors is their more reliable defense, conceding just one goal in each of their last two Euro 2024 qualifiers.
Estonia has struggled in attack, scoring only 2 goals in 5 qualifiers, failing to score in their last 4 home Euro qualifiers. Therefore, I believe the hosts are unlikely to score more than once. My prediction: Estonia Individual Total Under 1.5
