The Matchday 5 fixture of the Nations League between Denmark and Spain in Group 4 of League A will take place on November 15 at the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. Denmark vs. Spain: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Rade Obrenovic (Serbia)
Matches – 15 (International fixtures, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 27%.
Probable Lineups for Denmark vs. Spain
Denmark (3-4-3): Kasper Schmeichel – Joakim Maehle, Jannik Vestergaard, Victor Nelsson – Victor Kristiansen, Christian Norgaard, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Morten Hjulmand – Albert Gronbaek, Christian Eriksen, Rasmus Hojlund.
Spain (4-2-1-3): David Raya – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Vivian, Pedro Porro – Martin Zubimendi, Fabian Ruiz – Pedri – Ayoze Perez, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alvaro Morata.
Denmark
The Scandinavians started the current tournament well, securing two clean-sheet victories at home in September. However, in October, the team played away and lost to Spain (0-1) and drew with Switzerland (2-2). Denmark currently sits second in their group, three points ahead of Serbia. To guarantee a playoff spot, the Danes need to earn more points than the Serbs in this round.
At the end of October, Brian Riemer became the new head coach of the national team.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Denmark's last 8 Nations League games.
- Before the draw with Switzerland, the team had a 13-match streak without a draw in this tournament (9 wins and 4 losses).
- The number "2" appeared in the final scoreline in 10 of Denmark's last 12 Nations League matches.
Spain
In contrast, Spain played their first two matches of the tournament away, drawing with Serbia (0-0) and thrashing Switzerland (4-1). Last month, the team secured clean-sheet victories at home against Denmark (1-0) and Serbia (3-0). Luis de la Fuente's side confidently tops Group 4 and has secured a playoff spot in the Nations League. The team can ensure the top spot if they avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
- Spain is unbeaten in regular time in their last seven matches in this tournament (5 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in 4 of Spain's last 5 Nations League matches.
- The team scored in the second half in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches.
Denmark vs. Spain: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, bookmakers see the visitors as favorites, but I believe the hosts have a strong chance of avoiding defeat. After all, the Spaniards will be more relaxed, as they are not under pressure for the result, having already advanced to the tournament's playoffs. Head coach Luis de la Fuente can afford to experiment with the lineup, while for Denmark's new coach, it's important to start his national team career with a positive outcome.
With caution, I suggest a minimal handicap for the Scandinavians. Denmark has lost only twice in 10 home Nations League matches, with one of those losses by a single goal. The Danes also have a 9-match winning streak at home in official competitions. Meanwhile, before their win over Switzerland, Spain had never won away in this tournament by a margin of two or more goals.
Considering the lack of motivation for the visitors and Denmark's solid home record, my prediction is Denmark with a handicap (+1) at odds of
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