The match of matchday 7 of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Copenhagen (Denmark) and Napoli (Italy) will take place on 20 january at Parken Stadium. Copenhagen vs Napoli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Copenhagen
Copenhagen lost three of the first four matchdays of the group stage under Jakob Nestrup and drew once, but then recorded two consecutive victories — against Kairat and Villarreal, both by 3:2. As a result Copenhagen moved into the playoff zone, closing the top-24 with seven points. However, the team is not defensively reliable: the side has conceded 16 goals in the group stage, a worse record only than Ajax (18). The hosts will lose the chance to finish in the top eight if they drop points, but whatever the result they will retain chances to advance to the playoffs. It is worth noting that the home side has not played an official match for more than a month. Also, Copenhagen have won only one of ten matches against Italian opponents in UEFA competitions (3 draws, 6 defeats).
- The club has not lost in 7 of its last 9 home Champions League matches (6 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of the team’s previous 10 home matches in this European competition.
- The home side scored in its last 11 home Champions League matches.
Potential Copenhagen Lineup (4-4-2)
Dominik Kotarski – Birger Meling, Pantelis Hatzidiakos, Gabriel Pereira, Junnosuke Suzuki – Marcos López, Mads Madsen, Thomas Delaney, Jordan Larsson – Andreas Cornelius, Mohamed Elyounoussi.
Midfielder Magnus Mattsson will miss the match due to injury.
Napoli
Napoli lost away to Benfica 0:2 in the last round. As a result, over their last eight Champions League matches the visitors have recorded only two wins (2 draws, 4 defeats). In addition, for the third time in the group stage the side failed to score. In the standings Napoli sit next to their closest rival — 23rd place with seven points and the same tournament outlook as Copenhagen. It is also worth noting that the Italians have scored the fewest goals among the clubs currently in the playoff zone (6 goals).
- The team has lost its last five away Champions League matches.
- The club conceded at least two goals in five of its previous away matches in this European competition.
- The visitors scored in 12 of their last 15 Champions League matches.
Potential Napoli Lineup (3-4-3)
Vanja Milinković-Savić – Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Sam Beukema – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – David Neres, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.
Goalkeeper Alex Meret, defender Amir Rrahmani, midfielders André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Eljif Elmas, Billy Gilmour and Kevin De Bruyne, as well as forwards Matteo Politano and Romelu Lukaku will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Irfan Peljto (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 16;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 4;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Fouls Average Per Match – 26;
Penalties – 21%.
Copenhagen vs Napoli: Match Prediction
At home Copenhagen feel very confident in the Champions League and are ready to trouble opponents of any level. The club is especially effective in attack: in its last 11 home matches in this European competition Copenhagen never finished a game without scoring. Moreover, in seven matches during that run the side scored at least two goals. On the other hand, the hosts are not always solid defensively, and in the previous three Champions League fixtures the club conceded a total of eight goals.
Away challenges in the elite European competition have been difficult for Napoli: the visitors lost five consecutive matches, conceding as many as 17 goals over that stretch. However, Napoli look reasonably effective in attack and score regularly: in 15 previous away Champions League matches the Italians left the field without a goal only four times, and in seven of those games the club scored at least twice.
These factors, combined with the importance of the match for both sides from a tournament perspective, lead us to expect a high-scoring game in this encounter.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
