The Matchday 5 clash in the FONBET Russian Cup 2025/26 Regional Path between Chernomorets and Kuban Holding will take place on October 16 at the Central Stadium in Novorossiysk. Chernomorets vs. Kuban Holding: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Chernomorets
The team from Novorossiysk defeated Volgar 2-0 away in the last round. This victory marked their first win in regular time in their last four Russian Cup matches (2 draws, 1 loss). Notably, the club kept a clean sheet for only the second time in their last seven matches in this tournament. It's worth mentioning that the club has already surpassed their previous season's result, where they failed to progress past the 4th round.
- The team has scored in 9 of their last 12 matches in the national Cup.
- At home in this tournament, the club has not won in 5 of their last 7 matches (1 draw and 4 losses in regular time).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of the last 8 home games for Novorossiysk in the national Cup.
Predicted lineup for Chernomorets (4-3-3)
Mikhail Shtepa – Ilya Kirsh, Grigory Zhilkin, Maxim Syshchenko, Daniil Gurchenko – Kirill Morozov, Kirill Pomeshkin, Eldiyar Zarypbekov – Ivan Sutugin, Ilya Rodionov, Vladislav Lozhkin.
Kuban Holding
In the last round, the team overcame Volga at home (2-2, 8-7 on penalties). Kuban has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 Russian Cup matches (4 wins, 2 draws), and they kept a clean sheet in four of these games. Additionally, Kuban Holding scored in 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament. Notably, the team reached the 5th round of the national Cup for the first time in their history.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of Kuban's last 7 Russian Cup matches.
- The team won 4 of their last 5 away matches in this tournament (1 loss).
- In 6 of their last 7 away games in the national Cup, the club conceded no more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Kuban Holding (4-4-2)
Alexander Stenyakin – Rinat Garaev, Aslan Dashaev, Islam Orazayev, Ruslan Babayan – Ionafan Sapozhnikov, Dmitry Kartashov, Ilya Zakharov, Omar Popov – Maxim Dmitriev, Dmitry Mikhailov.
Referee
Danil Naboka (Russia)
Matches – 4 (Russian Cup, 2023/24 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 18;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 30;
Penalties – 25%.
Chernomorets vs. Kuban Holding: Match Prediction
The team from Novorossiysk is in decent form, having not lost in 5 of their last 7 matches in the FNL. However, it's worth noting that they kept a clean sheet in only one of these games. Chernomorets lacks defensive reliability in the national Cup, conceding in five of their last seven matches in this tournament.
Dmitry Fomin's side has already made history this season. It's unlikely that the team will be pressured by the result in the upcoming match. Confidently, Kuban will play freely, which will allow them to challenge their next opponent. In the national Cup, Kuban Holding regularly scores even away, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 matches.
Kuban is the highest-scoring team in their Second League group and consistently finds the net in the Russian Cup. My prediction: Kuban Holding Individual Total Over 0.5
