The Matchday 8 Premier League clash between Brighton and Newcastle will take place on October 18 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Newcastle: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brighton
The team heads into this fixture with a three-match unbeaten run in the league. They first drew at home with Tottenham (2-2), then sensationally defeated Chelsea away (3-1), and followed up with an unexpected draw against Wolverhampton (1-1). Despite this, there hasn't been a significant leap up the table, with Brighton sitting in 12th place, four points adrift of the European spots.
- In their last 12 Premier League matches, the club has suffered only two defeats (6 wins and 4 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Brighton's last 9 Premier League games.
- The team remains unbeaten in their last 7 home league matches (3 wins and 4 draws).
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Ferdi Kadioglu, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Mats Wieffer – Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari – Diego Gomez, Bryan Gruda, Yankuba Minteh – Danny Welbeck.
Defenders Solly March and Adam Webster, along with midfielder Jack Hinshelwood, are sidelined due to injuries.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's men defeated Nottingham Forest 2-0 at home in the last round. This was only their second victory in the current Premier League campaign. Notably, in their last five league matches, Newcastle has only lost to Arsenal (1-2), securing 2 wins and 2 draws. The club has the same number of points as Brighton (9) but boasts a better goal difference. Additionally, Newcastle's matches are among the lowest-scoring in the Premier League, averaging 1.6 goals per game.
- The club has not won in 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches – 3 draws and 4 losses.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of Newcastle's last 11 league games.
- They are on a 6-match winless streak away in the Premier League (4 draws and 2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn – Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton – Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade.
Due to injuries, key defender Valentino Livramento, midfielder Lewis Hall, and forward Yoane Wissa will miss the game.
Referee
Craig Pawson (England)
Matches – 28 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 102;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 27%.
Brighton vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction
Despite their low position in the standings, Fabian Hürzeler's side demonstrates quite quality football. The team performs well against strong opponents but tends to drop points against clubs lower in the table. In this campaign, Brighton has claimed two victories, notably against Manchester City and Chelsea. I believe the hosts will put in a solid performance against Newcastle and are likely to secure three points.
Eddie Howe's side, on the other hand, struggles away from home. The team has failed to win in 6 consecutive away Premier League matches, scoring only two goals during this run. Moreover, Newcastle has a poor record against this opponent – in their last 16 Premier League meetings, they have only 2 wins (8 draws and 6 losses). Newcastle particularly struggles at the Amex, where they have not won in their last 8 visits in the Premier League – 5 draws and 3 losses.
My prediction – Brighton with a handicap (0)
