The Matchday 17 Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Burnley will take place on 20 December at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth – Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bournemouth
Andoni Iraola's side were involved last weekend in perhaps the most entertaining match of the campaign. The Cherries drew 4-4 away at Manchester United, with eight goals on show after the team had failed to score in their previous two Premier League fixtures. That result means Bournemouth's winless run in the league has stretched to seven matches (three draws, four defeats). The poor run has left them down in 13th place. The team's matches are notably high scoring — their games average 3.3 goals, the third-highest figure in the division.
- At least four goals were scored in five of Bournemouth's last seven Premier League matches.
- Bournemouth have lost just one of their last nine home league games (five wins, three draws).
- One of the opponents failed to score in seven of Bournemouth's last ten home Premier League fixtures.
Predicted Bournemouth line-up (4-5-1)*
Djordje Petrovic – Bafodé Diakité, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Adam Smith – Alex Scott, Justin Kluivert, Marcus Tavernier, Antoine Semenyo, Alex Jiménez – Evanilson Barbosa.
Out through injury: striker Ben Doak, defender Veljko Miloslavelevic, and midfielders Tyler Adams and Ryan Christie.
Burnley
Burnley are also without a Premier League victory in seven matches, and that sequence is all defeats. Last time out, Scott Parker’s side had the opportunity to at least earn a draw but lost 2-3 at home to Fulham. Clarets’ matches have typically seen them concede heavily — they have shipped at least two goals in seven of their last eight league outings. After 16 matches, Burnley find themselves in the relegation zone and sit six points adrift of safety in 17th. The club also possess the second-worst defence in the division, having conceded 33 goals.
- The team have lost 11 of their last 14 Premier League fixtures (two wins, one draw).
- Both teams scored in seven of Burnley’s last away league matches.
- At least three goals were scored in nine of the club’s previous away games in the Premier League.
Predicted Burnley line-up (4-5-1)*
Martin Dúbravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Axel Tuanzebe, Kwilindsi Hartman, Maxim Esteve – Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino, Josh Cullen – Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Armando Broja.
Injured: striker Zeku Amdouni, defender Connor Roberts and midfielder Luis Bair. Midfielder Annibal Mejbri is serving a three-match suspension. Forward Lyle Foster and defender Axel Tuanzebe have been called up by their national teams.
Referee:
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 11 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 27%.
Match prediction Bournemouth – Burnley
Matches between these sides in the current season have been high-scoring, averaging more than three goals per game. Much of that is due to Burnley’s defensive frailties, but the visitors have also found the net regularly — they scored away in each of their previous seven Premier League fixtures. Moreover, Burnley have conceded two or more goals in nine of their last away matches in the division.
Bournemouth are not exactly watertight themselves, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. They have shipped two or more goals in five of their last seven league games. Given both teams' need for points and willingness to attack, I expect an open, entertaining contest. Additionally, at least three goals have been scored in eight of the last ten head-to-head Premier League meetings between these clubs.
My prediction – Total over 2.5
*Each team's starting XI is based on their previous match in this competition.
