The Matchday 21 Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and TSG Hoffenheim will take place on 8 February at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs TSG Hoffenheim: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayern Munich
The home side failed to bounce back from their defeat to Augsburg on Matchday 19, and in their last outing Vincent Kompany's men had to settle for a 2:2 draw with Hamburg. Bayern Munich have now dropped points in two consecutive league matches, with the last time such an unusual occurrence for the German giants happened being in March last year. The club remain top of the standings, but their lead over the nearest challenger has been cut to six points.
- The hosts have conceded in five straight league games.
- On home soil in this competition, the team have won eight of their last 10 matches (one draw, one defeat).
- In 24 of their previous 25 home Bundesliga matches, Bayern Munich have scored at least twice.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)*
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae – Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
TSG Hoffenheim
The 3:1 win over Union in the previous round was the visitors' fifth consecutive victory in the league. It is worth noting that the last time the team enjoyed such a strong run was back in 2020. In addition, in four matches during this period Christian Ilzer's men have scored at least twice. That level of output has helped TSG Hoffenheim become the second-highest scorers (43). In the overall standings, the club sit third, 11 points behind the upcoming opponents.
- Goals in both halves have been scored in 11 of the visitors' previous 13 Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the team have avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 matches in this competition (six wins, five draws).
- In six of their previous eight away league games, TSG Hoffenheim have conceded no more than one goal.
Potential TSG Hoffenheim Lineup (4-4-2)*
Oliver Baumann – Albian Hajdari, Ozan Kabak, Robin Granath, Vladimir Coufal – Bazoumana Toure, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Promel, Fisnik Asllani – Andrej Kramaric, Tim Lemperle.
Defender Koki Machida, as well as forwards Tim Lemperle, Adam Hlozek and Cole Campbell, will miss out through injury.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Yellow cards per match on average – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Bayern Munich vs TSG Hoffenheim: Match Prediction
The visitors are enjoying their best season in the last seven years. The team are in the Champions League places and trail the league-leading hosts by only 11 points, whereas usually that figure would be several dozen. They have achieved this thanks to better defensive organisation and excellent finishing. TSG Hoffenheim are second for goals scored and sit in the top five for xG.
Previous meetings between Bayern Munich and the visitors have often turned into a one-way game. We can even recall the first-round match, in which Vincent Kompany's men scored four goals. TSG Hoffenheim are unlikely to allow that again, but nobody in the 2025/26 Bundesliga has managed to contain the hosts' attack either. Meanwhile, the reigning champions are clearly lacking reliability at the back. Bayern Munich are on a very long run by their standards of conceding goals, and it will be difficult to end it against the second-most prolific team in the competition.
Prediction: Both teams to score + Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from their last match in this competition is listed.
