The Matchday 21 Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and TSG Hoffenheim will take place on february 8 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs TSG Hoffenheim: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich were unable to respond after losing to Augsburg on Matchday 19, and in the last match Vincent Kompany’s side could only draw with Hamburg (2:2). The home team have now dropped points in two straight league games, and the last time such an unusual run for the German powerhouse happened was in march last year. The club still tops the standings, but the gap to the nearest chaser has been cut to 6 points.
- Bayern Munich have conceded in five straight league games.
- At home in this competition, the team have won eight of their last 10 matches (one draw, one loss).
- In 24 of their previous 25 home Bundesliga games, Bayern Munich have scored at least twice.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)*
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae – Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Aleksandar Pavlović, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
Defender Konrad Laimer is injured.
TSG Hoffenheim
The 3:1 win over Union Berlin last time out was a fifth straight league victory for TSG Hoffenheim. It is worth noting that the team’s previous run of that length came back in 2020. Moreover, in four matches during this spell, Christian Ilzer’s side scored at least twice. That attacking output has helped TSG Hoffenheim become the league’s second-highest scorers (43). In the overall standings, the club sit third, 11 points behind their upcoming opponents.
- There have been goals in both halves in 11 of TSG Hoffenheim’s previous 13 Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the team are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches in this competition (six wins, five draws).
- In six of their last eight away league games, TSG Hoffenheim have not conceded more than once.
Potential TSG Hoffenheim Lineup (4-4-2)*
Oliver Baumann – Albian Hajdari, Ozan Kabak, Robin Granatsch, Vladimir Coufal – Bazoumana Touré, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Prömel, Fisnik Asllani – Andrej Kramarić, Tim Lemperle.
Defender Koki Machida, as well as forwards Tim Lemperle, Adam Hložek and Cole Campbell, will miss out through injury.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 8 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Bayern Munich vs TSG Hoffenheim: Match Prediction
TSG Hoffenheim are enjoying their best season in the last seven years. The team are in the Champions League places and trail the leading Bayern Munich by just 11 points, whereas usually that figure runs into the dozens. They have achieved this thanks to improved defensive organisation and outstanding finishing. TSG Hoffenheim are second for goals scored and in the top five for xG.
Previous meetings between Bayern Munich and TSG Hoffenheim have often turned into a one-sided affair. One example is the first-round match, when Vincent Kompany’s side scored four goals. This time, TSG Hoffenheim are unlikely to allow that, but no one has managed to fully contain Bayern Munich’s attack in the 2025/26 Bundesliga either. Meanwhile, the reigning champions clearly lack defensive reliability. Bayern Munich have a very long streak, by their standards, of conceding goals, and it will be difficult to end it against the competition’s second-most prolific team.
Prediction: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup shown is from their most recent match in this competition.
