The Matchday 3 encounter of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage between Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) and PSG (France) is set to take place on October 21 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
Having changed their coach at the start of the season, Bayer, led by Kasper Hjulmand, began their Champions League campaign with two draws, despite facing relatively modest opponents in Copenhagen and PSV. With no wins and just two points, the team is currently 25th in the overall standings, outside the playoff zone. Bayer's winless streak in the Champions League now extends to four matches (2 draws, 2 losses). However, it's worth noting that at home, Bayer has only lost one of their last seven matches in this European competition.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 11 Champions League games.
- Bayer has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 6 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
- The Germans have conceded in 5 of their last 6 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-3)
Mark Flekken – Loic Bade, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Arthur, Alex Grimaldo, Ignacio Fernandez, Aleix Garcia – Eliss Ben-Seghir, Kristjan Kofan, Ernest Poku.
Defender Axel Tuanzebe and midfielders Malik Tillman, Exequiel Palacios, Lucas Vazquez, and Nathan Tella are unavailable due to injuries. Defender Jarell Quansah and forward Patrik Schick are doubtful for the match.
PSG
The club has played the first two rounds of the Champions League exactly as expected of the reigning champions. First, PSG thrashed Atalanta, and then, despite significant personnel losses, they secured a comeback victory at the end of the away match against Barcelona. As a result, Luis Enrique's side is among the six teams that have not yet dropped points in the current Champions League campaign. Overall, the French team has won five consecutive matches in this tournament, and their scoring streak has reached eight games.
- PSG has scored in their last seven away Champions League games.
- The club's uncompromising streak in this tournament stands at 16 matches (12 wins, 4 losses).
- The team has won 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Willian Pacho, Ilya Zabarnyi, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery, Lee Kang-in – Bradley Barcola, Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Forward Ousmane Dembele and defender Marquinhos have recovered from injuries. Midfielders Fabian Ruiz and Joao Neves are still undergoing treatment.
Referee
Jesus Gil (Spain)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 38%.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The opponents rarely produce dull matches in the Champions League, but they don't always deliver a flurry of goals either. For instance, the three-goal mark was the limit in 6 of Bayer's last 7 games in this European competition. When considering home matches, no more than three goals were scored in 11 of Bayer's last 12 home matches in the Champions League. Moreover, in 6 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament, we saw a maximum of two goals.
PSG's games are generally more entertaining, but away from home, their scoring tends to be lower than at their home stadium. Four or more goals were scored in only two of PSG's last ten away matches in the Champions League. The absence of some key players who have already made their mark in the Champions League might also affect the spectacle. Notably, Bayer faces a similar issue.
Prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
