The Bundesliga matchday 26 clash between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will take place on 14 March at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
In the previous round, Bayer 04 Leverkusen shared the points with Freiburg (3:3), conceding the decisive goal late on. Defensively, things are not quite right for the home side at the moment: the club have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last seven league matches. While the situation with first and second place is more or less clear, there is set to be a serious battle for the remaining positions. The gap between third and sixth, which is where the hosts sit, is just five points. The position of Kasper Hjulmand’s men is complicated by their involvement in the Champions League; nevertheless, the team have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight Bundesliga games (four wins, three draws).
In 12 home matches of the 2025/26 season, the home team have recorded seven wins (two draws, three defeats).
The club’s scoring run at home in the league now stands at 14 matches.
In nine of their last 11 home matches, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have conceded no more than one goal.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)
Janis Blaswich – Robert Andrich, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Ibrahim Maza, Aleix Garcia, Exequiel Palacios – Christian Kofane, Martin Terrier, Ernest Poku.
Defenders Lucas Vazquez, Arthur and Loic Bade, as well as midfielder Eliesse Ben Seghir, are injured.
Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany’s men had no trouble dealing with Borussia Monchengladbach in the last round, winning 4:1. The result was spoiled by another goal conceded, with the Munich side allowing their opponents to score while down to 10 men. That victory was their fifth in a row and their 21st of the current season (three draws, one defeat). There are almost no questions about the title: the gap to the nearest challenger is 11 points, and it is unlikely to disappear in the remaining fixtures. In addition, the team have, for the first time in their long history, passed the 95-goal mark after 25 matchdays.
At least three goals have been scored in each of Bayern Munich’s last 26 league matches.
Bayern Munich have not lost a single away match in the 2025/26 season (10 wins, two draws).
The team have scored at least twice in 16 away matches in this competition.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Konrad Laimer, Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah – Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Joshua Kimmich, Luis Diaz, Aleksandar Pavlovic – Nicolas Jackson.
Defender Hiroki Ito and goalkeeper Manuel Neuer are injured.
Referee
Christian Dingert (Germany)
Matches – 8 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
We would, of course, like to note that the hosts have at least some chance of winning, or at least of taking the points they so badly need, especially as Bayer 04 Leverkusen have not lost in five of the last six head-to-head meetings in the Bundesliga (two wins, three draws). However, given that both teams are involved in the Champions League, and that the home team’s opponent and situation are far more complicated than Bayern Munich’s, it is hard to count on success.
Moreover, as we have already mentioned, the Munich side have set a record this season for the number of goals scored at this stage of the campaign and will surely want to improve it. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are generally solid at the back – 32 goals conceded in 25 rounds and third in the league by this metric. We probably should not expect an avalanche of goals from Bayern Munich. Still, the hosts have recently started allowing far too much in their own penalty area, and the upcoming contest is unlikely to be an exception. The visitors have scored at least twice in each of their last 16 away league matches. That run should continue.
Prediction: Bayern Munich, over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is listed.
