The Spanish Super Cup final between Barcelona and Real Madrid will take place on january 11 at Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Barcelona vs Real Madrid: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Barcelona
In the semifinal Barcelona had no problems against Athletic Bilbao (5:0). The outcome of the match was decided in the first half, in which the home side scored four goals. As a result, the club extended its winning run across La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup to 11 matches, and the team kept a clean sheet in the last five matches. Barcelona will play in the Super Cup final for the fourth consecutive time and are aiming for their 16th trophy in this competition.
- Barcelona did not lose in regular time in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings in Spanish competitions (3 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals were scored in 14 of the team's previous 18 matches in La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup.
- Barcelona scored at least two goals in their last 11 matches in these competitions.
Potential Barcelona Lineup (4-5-1)*
Joan Garcia – Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Eric Garcia, Alex Balde – Fermin Lopez, Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Roni Bardghji, Raphinha – Ferran Torres.
Goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, defender Andreas Christensen and midfielder Gavi are unavailable due to injuries. Defender Ronald Araujo has been included in the squad, but his participation in the match is in serious doubt.
Real Madrid
In the semifinal Real Madrid overcame resistance from Atletico Madrid (2:1). For Real Madrid this victory was the fifth in a row across La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup, and in each of those matches the club scored at least twice. On the other hand, the team kept a clean sheet in only one of the previous six matches in these competitions. This will be the fifth consecutive Super Cup final for Real Madrid, and with a victory the club would claim their 14th title in this competition.
- The club did not lose in 13 of the last 14 matches in Spanish competitions (10 wins, 3 draws).
- Both opponents scored in 4 of the team's last 5 matches in La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup.
- Real Madrid scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches in these competitions.
Potential Real Madrid Lineup (4-3-3)*
Thibaut Courtois – Federico Valverde, Raul Asensio, Antonio Rudiger, Alvaro Carreras – Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia.
Midfielder Brahim Diaz is unavailable due to participation in the Africa Cup of Nations. Defenders Trent Alexander-Arnold and Eder Militao will miss the match through injury, and defender Antonio Rudiger and forward Rodrygo are also very likely to be sidelined. Forward Kylian Mbappé was included in the tournament squad, and his participation in the final is not ruled out.
Referee
José Munuera Montero (Spain)
Matches – 6 (the Copa del Rey, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 4;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Per Match – 26;
Penalties – 33%.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Both opponents are in great form and have been producing very high-scoring football recently, so we consider it reasonable to expect a match with many goals in this head-to-head. Barcelona have a scoring run across all Spanish competitions that now stands at 49 matches, and in the last 11 matches in La Liga, the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup the home side scored at least twice in each contest. In addition, over the last eight head-to-head meetings in these competitions Barcelona scored a total of 20 goals in regular time against Real Madrid.
Real Madrid also look confident in attack and registered 14 goals across their previous five matches in the league, the cup and the Super Cup. The club can also boast high scoring in head-to-head meetings with Barcelona: in the last ten encounters in Spanish competitions Real Madrid left the field without scoring only once, and in total during that period the visiting team breached Barcelona's defence 23 times in regular time.
We expect an entertaining game with a large number of scoring chances in this match, and our prediction:
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
*Each team's starting lineup is indicated from its previous match in this tournament.
