The second-leg play-off match in the 2025/26 Conference League between AZ Alkmaar (Netherlands) and FC Noah Yerevan (Armenia) will take place on 26 February at the AFAS Stadion. The score in the first leg was 1:0 in favour of FC Noah Yerevan. AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Yerevan: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar lost the previous match 0:1, ending a three-game unbeaten run in the Conference League (two wins, one draw), and the goal conceded was their first during that spell. In addition, the Dutch side have failed to score in two consecutive matches, which has happened to the team for the first time in this tournament. To reach the round of 16, AZ Alkmaar need to beat their opponents in the second leg by at least two goals. That is exactly the margin by which the club have won four of their last five Conference League matches.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in six of the Dutch club's previous seven Conference League matches.
- At home in this tournament, the team are unbeaten in seven matches (six wins, one draw).
- In six of their last seven home Conference League games, the club have not conceded a single goal.
Potential AZ Alkmaar Lineup (4-3-3)*
Jeroen Zoet – Wouter Goes, Elijah Dijkstra, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit – Kees Smit, Peer Koopmeiners, Sven Mijnans – Isak Jensen, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Troy Parrott.
Midfielder Jordy Clasie, defenders Denso Kasius and Seiya Maikuma are sidelined. Defender Wouter Goes is suspended.
FC Noah Yerevan
That win in the previous match was only the Armenian side's second in their last six Conference League games (two draws, two defeats). It was also the first time they have kept a clean sheet during that run. Sandro Perkovic's men had scored in 10 of their previous 11 matches in the competition. To reach the round of 16, FC Noah Yerevan simply need to avoid defeat in the upcoming game. If the club lose by exactly one goal, the tie will go to extra time.
- No more than two goals were scored in five of the team's last seven Conference League matches.
- Away from home in this tournament, FC Noah Yerevan have failed to win nine of their last 10 matches (two draws, six defeats).
- The club have conceded in nine consecutive away games in the Conference League.
Potential FC Noah Yerevan Lineup (4-5-1)*
Aleksey Ploshchadnyi – Sergey Muradyan, David Sualehe, Nathanael Saintini, Nermin Zolotic – Hovhannes Hambardzumyan, Yann Eteki, Takuto Oshima, Helder Ferreira, Gustavo Sangare – Nardin Mulahusejnovic.
Referee
Nikola Dabanovic (Serbia)
Matches – 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match (average) – 24;
Penalties – 11%.
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Noah Yerevan: Match Prediction
The Dutch side have made life difficult for themselves after failing to take at least one chance in the first leg. Nevertheless, the team still have a good chance of progressing to the next round. On home soil in the Conference League, AZ Alkmaar have produced excellent results, winning six of their last seven matches (one draw). FC Noah Yerevan, meanwhile, have lost six of their previous nine away games in this tournament.
The Armenian club's main objective will be to stop the hosts from scoring. The team concede regularly, but outright defensive collapses are rare. In five of their previous seven Conference League matches, Sandro Perkovic's men have allowed their opponents to score no more than once. In three home games in the 2025/26 Conference League league phase, the Dutch side scored only three times. However, the team achieve positive results thanks to reliable defensive performances. This is especially evident at home, where AZ Alkmaar have conceded just one goal in their previous seven Conference League matches.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
