Augsburg Form and Squad
Before an unexpected away win over Bayer Leverkusen (2:1), Augsburg had not won since the end of February. The home team have conceded in six matches in a row, and in four of those they have shipped at least two goals. In Leverkusen the visitors rode their luck (0.57 vs 3.80 in xG and 11-35 in shots), and after such an emotional victory they may not have enough energy left for the upcoming round.
Important Numbers for Augsburg:
In their last two home matches against Stuttgart (2:5) and Hoffenheim (2:2) the team allowed a massive 5.30 xGA.
At home Augsburg have scored 21 goals in 15 matches — among the top 12, only Werder Bremen have a weaker attack with 18.
Since the start of 2024 Augsburg have not beaten Eintracht Frankfurt in four head-to-head matches.
Potential Augsburg Lineup (3-4-2-1)
Finn Dahmen — Cedric Zesiger, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Arthur Chaves — Dimitrios Giannoulis, Fabian Rieder, Han-Noah Massengo, Robin Fellhauer — Alexis Claude-Maurice, Anton Kade — Rodrigo Ribeiro.
Eintracht Frankfurt Form and Squad
With Riera in charge Eintracht Frankfurt have become more consistent in picking up points, and since the beginning of February they have lost only three of 10 matches. Their most recent defeat came in the previous round against in-form RB Leipzig (1:3) — the Eagles competed well (1.44 vs 2.09 in xG), but the RB stars simply made better use of their chances. Away from home they dealt with Wolfsburg a fortnight ago (2:1), establishing a two-goal lead by the 32nd minute.
Important Numbers for Eintracht Frankfurt:
The Eagles have the second-best conversion rate in the Bundesliga. With 45.24 xG they have scored 55 goals.
Away from home Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 29 goals in 15 matches — only Stuttgart (36) and Bayern Munich (49) have more.
Arnaud Kalimuendo is impressing on loan — the Frenchman has three goals in his last five matches for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Potential Eintracht Frankfurt Lineup (3-4-2-1)
Michael Zetterer — Arthur Theate, Robin Koch, Aurele Amenda — Nathaniel Brown, Oscar Hojlund, Hugo Larsson, Fares Chaibi — Arnaud Kalimuendo, Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab — Jonathan Burkardt.
Out of Squad: Rasmus Kristensen, Nnamdi Collins, Kaua Santos, Jean-Matteo Bahoya (all injured).
Match Prediction
Back under Toppmoller Eintracht Frankfurt beat Augsburg 1:0 at home in Frankfurt. At that time the Eagles still played with a back four, but now their tactics have become even more vertical — virtually every pass from midfield is directed towards the attack. In this setup Kalimuendo and Burkardt are increasingly getting chances — both forwards like to play on the shoulder of the last defender, breaking away from opponents with sharp runs. Augsburg's back line does not inspire confidence: captain Gouweleeuw has regularly been caught out of position since returning to the side. Yes, Augsburg were fortunate to take three points in Leverkusen, but such overperformance does not happen every week.
Confident Bet
Over the last six years Eintracht Frankfurt have lost to Augsburg in only one head-to-head match. The clubs occupy different levels in the hierarchy of German football — the visitors will underline that in this away fixture, where they have plenty of motivation. The Eagles should avoid defeat.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt, double chance
Alternative Bet for the Match
Eintracht Frankfurt's goals have not always guaranteed them victories — the same could happen on Saturday. Advanced statistics point to the Eagles' strong finishing, which should show itself against Augsburg. The visitors are expected to score twice.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt, over 1.5 goals
