The Matchday 33 La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will take place on April 24 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club suffered a disappointing away defeat to Las Palmas (0-1) in the last round, which left them 6 points behind Real Madrid and 10 points adrift of leaders Barcelona. Atletico remains in third place, but hopes of winning the championship have dimmed. Prior to this, Diego Simeone's side defeated Sevilla away (2-1) and secured a home victory against Valladolid (4-2). Notably, the team has conceded only 27 goals, which is the second-best defensive record in La Liga after Athletic (26 goals).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico's last 6 league matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 14 of Atletico's last 16 La Liga matches.
- The club conceded only two goals in the first half of their last 11 La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand, Jose Maria Gimenez – Marcos Llorente, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.
Rayo Vallecano
Inigo Perez's side has gone three games without a win in La Liga. The team lost at home to Espanyol (0-4) and away to Athletic (1-3), while in the last round, they drew with Valencia at home (1-1). The club is in the middle of the table, just two points away from the European competition zone. Notably, in their last nine La Liga matches, Rayo Vallecano has won only once (3 draws and 5 losses).
- At least two goals were scored in Rayo Vallecano's last seven La Liga matches.
- The club did not lose the second half in 8 of their last 10 away league games (3 wins and 5 draws).
- Rayo Vallecano scored exactly one goal in 7 of their last 9 away La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Augusto Batalla – Florian Lejeune, Andrei Ratiu, Pep Chavarria, Pathé Ciss – Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau – Pedro Diaz, Alvaro Garcia, Jorge de Frutos – Randy Nteka.
Referee
Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
Matches – 16 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 13%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match Prediction
Diego Simeone's side has fallen out of the title race, with only two wins in their last six La Liga matches (1 draw and 3 losses). As a result, the team is set to finish the season without trophies, with their only remaining goal being to secure a place in the Champions League. The gap to the nearest rival outside the Champions League zone is 12 points, which is unlikely to be overturned in the six remaining rounds. However, to avoid a tense finish, Atletico would do well to secure a couple more wins.
I believe Atletico will not allow themselves to relax in front of their fans. The team has always been known for their excellent home performances, suffering just one defeat in the current La Liga season (11 wins and 4 draws). Rayo Vallecano has been inconsistent in recent matches, particularly away from home. In their last four away La Liga games, the club suffered three defeats, beating only Alaves. Additionally, Atletico has never lost in their last 15 league meetings (12 wins and 3 draws).
My prediction – Atletico Madrid to Win
